Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 10, 2021

July 10, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 San Lorenzito 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Railroad Jimmy 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Apolliticalfastlane 5.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 The Louisiana Pilot 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Stratosphear 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Flying Adelia 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Corona Blues 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Quick and Dirty 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sweet Bo 10.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Blood Sweat N Beers 20.00 8.7 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ur Louisiana 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Put Me N Coach 1.60 3.1 6-1
2 1 A Jess Bar Chick 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Flawless Streaker 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Bonafyde 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 One Sweet Rhapsody 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Imstreakinfast 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Jet Black Dasher 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Three R Sweet Jess 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 San Lorenzeaux 1.40 1.6 3-1
9 9 Shesabadmoonrising 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sweater Tlc 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Patriotic Trump 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Miapatriot 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Brees Tlc 10.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Jess Liam Behind 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Kaioken Cartel 20.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Tf Runaway Cartel 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Miguelito 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jess Louisiana 2.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 He Aint Political 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Jrs One Sweet Gator 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Jrs Carters Queen 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Eyes of a Cartel 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Blue Dashn 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Louisiana Full House 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Blue Dream Dash 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Jrs Magic Piloto 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bye Corona 3.00 1.7 3-1
9 9 Blessher Sweet Heart 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dagouti Leaving You 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Siete Rayos Cartel 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sir Thorn Dash 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Tdz Jeslouisianafast 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Pk Sugar Daddy 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Hez a Foxx 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Mr Crawfish 15.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Cos Im Game 15.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blood Money 1.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Shez Beyond Fast 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 La Jetn Cartel 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Adore My Runaway 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Ms Lucia 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Blue Timber 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Icecoldblood 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Ferdies Tee Cos 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Eyesa Fast Prize 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr Fast Mallard 2.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Runaway First Shine 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Louisiana Tequila 4.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Ms Better Be 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sir Runaway Hemp 10.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Jess Black Perry 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Kb Five Bar Dynasty 15.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Blew Duck 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tf One Sweet Guy 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Five Bar Wagon 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Heza Louisiana Man 4.50 2.3 4-1
9 9 Jrs Carters Shadow 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Fastdash These Silks 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Mp Sixty Silky 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Hamilton Tlc 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Rio Rojo Azul 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Fast Dashin Rocket 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Jrs Valiant Pilot 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Wild Game Fortune 15.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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