Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 10, 2021

July 10, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fort Ticonderoga 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Doctor Jeff 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Any Minute 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 5 Starting Up 12.00 4.7 9-1
7 4 Flip the Script 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Big Invasion 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Indy Event 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Piqua 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Just Say When 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Financialstability 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 6 Clear the Mine 3.50 5.3 10-1
7 5 Hooray for Harvey 15.00 5.9 11-1
13 11 Winning Drive 6.00 6.1 11-1
10 8 No Lime 20.00 7 13-1
12 10 Freudian Sip 15.00 7.5 14-1
9 7 Skyler’s Scramjet 20.00 7.9 15-1
11 9 Real Dan 30.00 8.1 15-1
5 3 Tale of Mist 20.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Summer Bourbon 12.00 8.3 16-1
6 4 Vicar’s Legend 30.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 Vineyard Sound 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Cause of Action 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Destinationwnrscir 2.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Ok Honey 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Pay Grade 1.80 2.7 5-1
1 1 Ifihadachance 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Sweeter 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Caramocha 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Water’s Edge 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 5 Gold Panda 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Tivoli Twirl 4.50 3 6-1
8 7 Blitz to Win 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 King Angelo 4.50 4 7-1
5 4 Mr. Buckley 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 One Whirlwind Ride 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Remembermom 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Forty Two Ace 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Beautiful Karen 5.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Queen Arella 10.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Coffee Bar 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 My Best Friend 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Trinni Luck 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Stimulus Check 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Fair Lassie 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Pendolino 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Volkert 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Scocciatore 5.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Danfusi 6.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Rift Valley 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Saratoga Flash 8.00 6.1 11-1
4 3 Bad Guy 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 1 Coragescontender 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 6 Our Man Mike 12.00 7.2 14-1
10 9 Chrome Dixie 8.00 7.4 14-1
5 4 Dr. Blute 2.50 7.4 14-1
1 1 Great Blake 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Jack Bo 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 True Palace 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Irish Giant 10.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Purple Hearted 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Hurricane Andrew 50.00 11.9 23-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Belmont Oaks Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Santa Barbara (IRE) 1.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Higher Truth (IRE) 12.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cirona (GB) 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Con Lima 5.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Nazuna (IRE) 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Plum Ali 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Spanish Loveaffair 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Gam’s Mission 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Victory Ride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ova Charged 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Miss Brazil 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 4 Souper Sensational 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Australasia 2.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Inject 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Red Ghost 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Bella Sofia 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Shop Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bolshoi Ballet (IRE) 1.40 2.4 5-1
7 7 Tokyo Gold (FR) 15.00 4 8-1
8 8 Cellist 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Hard Love 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sainthood 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Du Jour 4.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Palazzi 15.00 5 9-1
3 3 Safe Conduct 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Everesting 5.00 1.9 4-1
12 8 Deregulation (GB) 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 6 Migrate 3.00 2.7 5-1
7A 5 My Boy Colton 10.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Ranger Fox 1.80 3.9 7-1
6 4 Big Castle 15.00 4.6 9-1
5 3 Canyouhearmenow 50.00 8.1 15-1
3 2 Beckenbauer 50.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Bold Victory 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Abaan 3.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Lemon Drop Road 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Readyseekgo 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 3 Counter Offer 4.50 3.5 7-1
12 9 Boru 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 2 Rejected Again 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Outrageous Bet 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 5 Acker 12.00 5.7 11-1
11 8 Noble Thought 6.00 6.4 12-1
4 1 Mandate 12.00 6.7 13-1
9 6 Castagno 20.00 7.3 14-1
10 7 Honorable Hero 30.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Obsessed 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Villainous 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Soglio 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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