July 10, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fort Ticonderoga | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doctor Jeff | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Any Minute | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Starting Up | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Flip the Script | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Invasion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Indy Event | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Piqua | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Just Say When | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Financialstability | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Clear the Mine | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Hooray for Harvey | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Winning Drive | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | No Lime | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Freudian Sip | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Real Dan | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vineyard Sound | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cause of Action | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Destinationwnrscir | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ok Honey | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pay Grade | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ifihadachance | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweeter | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Caramocha | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Water’s Edge | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gold Panda | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tivoli Twirl | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Blitz to Win | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | King Angelo | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Buckley | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | One Whirlwind Ride | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Remembermom | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Two Ace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Karen | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Queen Arella | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coffee Bar | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Best Friend | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trinni Luck | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stimulus Check | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fair Lassie | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pendolino | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Volkert | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Scocciatore | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Danfusi | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rift Valley | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saratoga Flash | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bad Guy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Coragescontender | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Our Man Mike | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chrome Dixie | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dr. Blute | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Great Blake | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jack Bo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | True Palace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Irish Giant | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Purple Hearted | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Hurricane Andrew | 50.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Belmont Oaks Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Santa Barbara (IRE) | 1.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Truth (IRE) | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cirona (GB) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Con Lima | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nazuna (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Plum Ali | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spanish Loveaffair | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gam’s Mission | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Victory Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ova Charged | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Brazil | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Souper Sensational | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Australasia | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Inject | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Red Ghost | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Sofia | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shop Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Belmont Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bolshoi Ballet (IRE) | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tokyo Gold (FR) | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cellist | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Love | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sainthood | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Du Jour | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palazzi | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Safe Conduct | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Enemy (IRE) | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Everesting | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Deregulation (GB) | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Migrate | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7A | 5 | My Boy Colton | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ranger Fox | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Big Castle | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Canyouhearmenow | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beckenbauer | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Victory | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Abaan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Lemon Drop Road | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Readyseekgo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Counter Offer | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Boru | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Rejected Again | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Outrageous Bet | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Acker | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Noble Thought | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Mandate | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Castagno | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Honorable Hero | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obsessed | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Villainous | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Soglio | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.