Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 9, 2021

July 9, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mr. Walsh 1.60 3.1 6-1
5 5 Degas 3.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Erawan 5.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Kickstarter 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Maine 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Ladneedsahandler 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Cash Comes First 4.50 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Guns Blazing 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Woodbine Way 4.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Cindy’s Prayer 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 2 A Girl Named Jac 4.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Lucre 6.00 4.9 9-1
2 1 Insightful 15.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Golden Can 3.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Always Something 30.00 7 13-1
1 1 Shackaboom 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Hicktown 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Hannahs Red Ruby 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Determined Truth 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Senson 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Noble Bid 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Queen Cadence 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Whiteknuckleflyer 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Green Eyes 4.00 4.1 8-1
10 8 Matunuck 3.50 4.1 8-1
11 9 Great Cause 12.00 4.1 8-1
13 11 Americas Woman 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Fast Lani 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Keepyourskateson 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Sevilla Sangria 15.00 6.8 13-1
8 7 Competent 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Merry Maid 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Adabel 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Ms. Haiti 30.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Netti Girl 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Megalomania 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Pascal Chant 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Nova Boy 1.60 4 7-1
7 6 Extra Medium 10.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Glengar 3.00 5 9-1
1 1 Ticker Tape Parade 15.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Smart Step 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Flat Rate 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Fifty 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Criticize 12.00 4.3 8-1
12 11 Cranston’s Network 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Prince of Caps 2.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Tipyourhattothat 4.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Transit 20.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Strolled On By 4.50 6.3 12-1
2 2 Mentalist 15.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Tyler Time 10.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Malibu Heaven 15.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Bridge of Hope 30.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 El Equalizer 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Luv the Painter 30.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Ziggy Mon 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Stroll Smokin 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Youngest of Five 5.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Bustoff 8.00 6 11-1
9 7 Valued Notion 10.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Noble Commander 8.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Air Token 10.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Jeopardy James 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rough Sea 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Market Cap 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Ink 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Shanghaied Astoria 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Contraflow 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Fole’s Notion 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sebastian 6.00 5.7 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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