Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 9, 2021

July 9, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3A 2 Therisastormbrewin 1.60 1 2-1
6A 4 Wicked Indeed 1.60 1.7 3-1
7 5 Bourbon Mission 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 6 Tapizearance 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 3 By the Sey Shore 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Promo Code 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Variant Perception 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Fair Catch 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Zanno 2.50 SCRATCH
10 7 Big Wonder 15.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Supreme Aura 1.20 2.1 4-1
4 4 Heirloom Kitten 2.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Dark Storm 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Flat Out Beautiful 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Heavy Roller 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Extrordinary Jerry 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Star Command 3.00 3 6-1
7 4 Pendolino 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 2 Halo City 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 3 Creative Legacy 30.00 5 9-1
1 1 Made In Italy (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Love And Thunder (IRE) 1.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Miss Dracarys 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Rotknee 1.40 1.3 2-1
1 1 Spettro 2.50 1.6 3-1
7 6 Sundaeswithsandy 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Bointheback 8.00 2.6 5-1
2A 2 Bourbon’s Hope 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Lord Brownie 20.00 5 10-1
8 7 Resilient Courage 12.00 5.4 10-1
4A 4 Cozzy’s Attitude 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Tootsie’s Song 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 April Antics 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Hiya Harry 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Spun for Lu Lu 15.00 4 8-1
3 3 Masu 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 New York Banker 15.00 4.7 9-1
10 8 Know It All Red 4.00 5.4 10-1
11 9 Captivating Cara 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Wish for Magic 20.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Emerald Banker 50.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Blind Sight 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Happy Hill Lil 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Danny California 2.00 1.8 3-1
11 5 Dreams of Tomorrow 1.80 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lost in Rome 3.00 2.9 6-1
10B 4 Blewitt 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Blind Ambition 15.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Emaraaty (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH
5A 5 Principled Stand (GB) 2.00 SCRATCH
6B 6 Mo Ready 4.00 SCRATCH
7B 7 Microsecond 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Island Commish 12.00 SCRATCH
9A 9 Price Talk 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Danebury 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 3 Too Early 1.80 2.5 5-1
2 1 Three Jokers 4.00 3 6-1
3 2 Bourbon Bay 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 5 I Love Jaxson 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Sea Foam 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Daddy Knows 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13A 6 Stand for the Flag 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 4 Foxtail 3.00 3.4 6-1
10 5 Alwayz Late 10.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Secure Connection 12.00 6.4 12-1
4 2 Kilkea 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 3 Dancingwthdaffodls 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Sun Summers 5.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Classic Lady 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 My Sweet Wife 30.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Platinum Paynter 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Bramble Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Flighty Lady (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Mucha Mezquina 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 6 Sweet Larissa 4.00 1.5 3-1
8 3 Ms Boombastic 8.00 4.5 8-1
2A 1 She So Naughty 6.00 4.5 9-1
9 4 Seahorse d’Oro 8.00 6.1 12-1
10 5 Giggle Factory 6.00 6.4 12-1
7 2 Entwine (IRE) 15.00 8.2 16-1
1 1 Social Exclusion 6.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 Kiss and Run 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Zerenia 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Appreciate 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cherokee Song 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Freddymo Factor 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Kubie Snacks 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
1st - 3:09
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2nd - 2:40
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2nd - 7:50
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2nd - 4:19
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3rd - 10:36
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2nd - 11:04
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End 2nd
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End 2nd
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