Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 8, 2021

July 8, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Five Days in May 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Ami’s Link 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Samurai Queen 2.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Antigone 6.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Crumlin Queen 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Pluie d’Avril 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Northern Ruby 10.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Canadian Magic 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Modus Operandi 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Rose Ring 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Glib Marylin 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Subzero Plus 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Rince Tapaigh 3.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Blondilikestodance 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Jack’s Memory 20.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Toy Show 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 To Sing My Song 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 She’s Got Action 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Just Silent 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Pippi 2.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Don’t Smile Lilah 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 J M R Turallie 20.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Curt’s Angel 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Bring Da Fudge 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Audition 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Zoysia 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 J M R Bold Vision 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Merino Wool 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Sea Lily 4.00 3.8 7-1
9 8 Words of Gold 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Show Some Skin 2.50 4.9 9-1
7 6 Hold the Applause 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 9 Someone Else 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 2 Sadie Irene 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Warning Belle 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spite Store 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Beyond My Dreams 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Magic Spin 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Blue Max 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Lenny K 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Send the Word 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Executive Giant 12.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Star Scholar 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Downy Boy 4.00 4 8-1
7 4 Tranquility Base 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 2 Bachelor Pad 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Robusto 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 6 Bon Prix 10.00 6 11-1
6 3 Double the Heart 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Mia’s Extortionist 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Northern Solution 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Captain Handsome 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Secrets Told 3.50 2 4-1
6 4 Carpe Horseshoe 2.00 2.9 6-1
5 3 Fedalia 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 1 Few Regrets 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 5 Hard Street 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Away to Return 3.00 SCRATCH
3 2 New Play 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Kerics Beauty 10.00 3.2 6-1
14 12 Thatsmykindanight 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Orbaline 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 9 Viracocha 15.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 The Twelfth 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Shanghai Bound 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Bella Lalou 20.00 6.2 12-1
11 10 Rum Raisin 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Jolene Jolene 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 I’m Not Perfect 20.00 7.4 14-1
13 11 Regal Billee 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Papa’s Silver 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Seamialaugh 3.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Slashs Red Diamond 30.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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