July 7, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Best Cause | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promise of Joy | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peculiarity | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Tiz Way | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Babe | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Truly a Dream | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Misdriven | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alexbabe | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Frontier Woman | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Call Me Jelly Roll | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Life in Flash | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Owesaycanyousee | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Super Donna G | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Three Coins | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Pau Hana | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Likely Choice | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sally’s Mustang | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | La Familia | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Diadora | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Flava’s Dream | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Nabruzzi | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hankie Pank | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Love My Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Inanna’s Quest | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Will Take Roses | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Texas Reward | 1.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Opulent Ways | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drive In | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simple Story | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Lightly | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Lluvia | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uno Tigress | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goodbye Carolina | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winterthur | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holly’s Lady | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mose Definitely | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zelienople | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Color Crush | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rapidamente | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Time Sensitive | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | McLucy | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blaze Finery | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bohemian Dancer | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Plamen | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dennard | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Inspector Frost | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Dr. Ferber | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galilean Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Ricochet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Papa Jimmy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Peach Blossom S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rising Bella | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | All Good Times | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss the Girl | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Tap Dance | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Shifra Magician | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mosalah | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Glossamer | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paolla’s Heart | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hope Has a Name | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lovely Brown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Street Lute | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Buff’s in Love | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Just Enough | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quad Eights | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tappin Honor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Screen Star | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flying Bankroll | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Golden | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vision of Thanos | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | They Shot Sonny | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | John’s Promise | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Arrivederla | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Marco Island | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Instigated | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Kid d’Oro | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 5 | Divine Interventio | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 6 | In the Loop | 1.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.