Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 5, 2021

July 5, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 First Promise 1.20 1.2 2-1
3 3 Pearls and Heels 1.80 1.4 3-1
2 2 Talkative Gal 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Big Rosie 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Smart Monique 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Double the Gold 1.60 1.2 2-1
4 3 You’re My Boy Kat 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Shortman 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Formal Order 6.00 3 6-1
2 1 Toasted At Dawn 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Katonah 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fantastic Dream 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tiz Love 2.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Question Authority 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Malakai Moxie 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 Platinum Equity 4.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Admiral Boom 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Royal Seeker 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Surplus 1.20 1.6 3-1
5 4 Intense 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 5 Gordy’s Boy 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Pick Your Bid 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Larry’s Legend 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Moon Circumference 15.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Roses for Life 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Extremely Wicked 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 2 Hot Pastrami 1.20 2.3 4-1
7 5 Warhorse Matty 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Deputy Gary 15.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Charming Danza 20.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Maui Road 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 6 Pedro Perez 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Total Authority 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Glendora Minecat 3.50 1.2 2-1
8 7 Sir Flatter 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 My Indy 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Moon Mischief 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Very Irish 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Da Kine 6.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Derby Champ 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 Passing the Buck 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Neutrino 3.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Paint Me Lucky 1.60 2.3 4-1
3 3 Square Root 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Hot Pursuit 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Honorary Degree 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 W. Whitehouse 30.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Little Mischief 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Sir Williams Dream 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Great Lady M S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Edgeway 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 3 Gamine 0.20 2.5 5-1
3 1 Qahira 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 4 Bella Vita 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 5 Road Rager 50.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Candura 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dynasty of Her Own 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eyes Open 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Great Power 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Two Bills 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Eskimo Roses 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Tyrannical Rex 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Baby Gronk 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Coil to Strike 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Cash Encounter 30.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Restoring Dreams 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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