Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, July 5, 2021

July 5, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Dreamin of a Jet 4.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Sheza Fast Train B 2.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tf Runaways Toasted 6.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bang Boom Pow 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Hesasorrelmagic 10.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Tf Rowdy Runaway 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Carters Wild Shannon 12.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Sizzlin Buckey 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Dreamin the Dream 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Bt Bluesman 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Masons Jet Black 1.40 1.6 3-1
6 3 Freakin Patriot Dash 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 1 Zoomingprincezydeco 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 U R Jess Blue 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Coastal Confessions 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Wynnmesomemoney 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bag of Fantasies 4.50 2 4-1
8 8 Saras Hot Wings 5.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Ks Quick Shooter 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Sheza Tbr Secret 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Fly Rogue Fly 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lsu Purpleyellowblue 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bebe Jordan 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Mps Grand Magic 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Chica B Quick 2.00 1.8 3-1
7 6 Cash Shines 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Myfastprizejordan 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Just Deadly 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 I Cool Too 8.00 4 8-1
2 1 Fast Lady Rocks 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Zoomin the Game 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 6 Sizzlin Grace 3.50 2 4-1
9 9 Jm Friday 2.50 2.6 5-1
1A 8 Lundi Gras Dash 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 4 Hezjessmagic 6.00 4 8-1
2 1 La Prize Streak 5.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Hesa Crazy Storm 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Tee Forest 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Watch My Booty 12.00 7.1 13-1
4 3 Cr Wicked Wabbit 15.00 8 15-1
8 9 Standing At the Bar 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Diamondinthefront 2.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Mya Patriot 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Jls Mr Prospect 4.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Cosicandash 8.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Nitro Vision 6.00 4 7-1
8 8 Jls Zoom N Boom 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Louisiana Runner 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Rcv Divide the Money 12.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Jess a Wild Cat 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Reb So Sweet 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Aj Taylors Red Train 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ec Im That Jess 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Forever Corona Chick 6.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Diamonds N Coronas 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 The Louisiana Prize 12.00 5 9-1
10 10 Shazam a Corona Girl 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Sizzzlin 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Hm Estrella 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Vals Fortune Teddy Abrams Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Eyeondaprize 2.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Lifeinthefastlanes 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Cos Im Kool 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mpshinning 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Jrs Coronas Toast 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Love the Way You Fly 8.00 4 8-1
4 4 Tuckers Prize 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ttt Cowboy Boot 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 Inphinity 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Dashin and Zoomin 5.00 SCRATCH
9 8 One Sweet Playboy 2.50 3 6-1
3 3 Fireball Cartel 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Tarkington Prairie 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Cash for Imformants 12.00 5 10-1
2 2 By a Block 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Clave Siete 15.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Kk Mr Lazaro 20.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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