July 5, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | No Time Alone | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flip My Id | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Flattery’s Music | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beautiful Banks | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uni Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Our Tiny Dancer | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amore Fire | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Extreme Force | 0.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Posse Can Disco | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Matty’s Marauder | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Litterbox | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Feast | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Magnificent Chrome | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Road to Success | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mo Heat | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bourbon Rising | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gods Will | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz the Journey | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lucky Man | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Flintshire’s Rock | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Orb in the Tower | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eight Weeks Long | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Majestic Sky | 1.40 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Webb | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Wicked Karma | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trisaetum | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Reunion Tour | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Baby Boss | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Mia | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Mi Mi | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stunning Munnings | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Indra | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mosienko | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Grand Couturier S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sadler’s Joy | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Knight | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Gufo | 1.60 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Shamrocket | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Kinenos | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Tide of the Sea | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasioso (ARG) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Epic Bromance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Miami | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Burning Bright | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Community Adjusted | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Windfall Profit | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | High Opinion | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Creative Cairo | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prairie Wings | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Otoole | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Come Storming | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Fawzia | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dwyer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | First Captain | 0.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snow House | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gershwin | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ridin With Biden | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Civil War | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Proper Grammar | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cartouche | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Jades Gelly | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High School Crush | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dramatic Twist | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Day’s Humor | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sweeter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shannon’s Girl | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Train to Artemus | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.