July 4, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Iris Royal Jess | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
2 | 2 | Regal Dynasty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | Real Wagon | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Sweet Twisted Tea | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Apollitical Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Afabulous Hustle | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Gfr Gone N Dun It | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Power of Royalty | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Moonflash Ocean | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | Trig | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Kickin Good Time | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
7 | 7 | Benjamin Moore | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Ts Dash to the End | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
4 | 3 | A Third Rate Romance | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
6 | 5 | Lil Romance Wagon | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
5 | 4 | Be the Change | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
8 | 7 | Eye of Rose | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Jess Lippy | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
2 | 2 | Paint Fast | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
3 | 3 | Hail Yez Darlin | 6.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Boo Be Right | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Gotta Love Ike | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Hot Blooded Song | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Mr. Popcorn | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Cold Snack Thirty | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Woke Up Wild | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Hidden Ruler | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
4 | 4 | Greeley and Ben | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Lookin for Eight | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Warrior’s Lullaby | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Ault | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Canadian Game | 5.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Bottomless | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Halo Jax | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Flat Out Freed | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Outlaster | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Pistol Packin Man | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Shy Runner | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Not This Again | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Finish Up | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Warrior’s Run | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
1 | 1 | Ain’t Life Grand | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
8 | 8 | Kwai Chang | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Win in the City | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Midnight Rules | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
2 | 2 | Blue Paradise | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
5 | 5 | Native Hellraiser | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | War Ron | 1.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Nasty Exaggerator | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Lancelot N Elaine | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | My Boaz | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Launched | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Alittlebitoflime | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | It’s All About Joe | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Quality Run | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
6 | 6 | Thrown for a Loupe | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
3 | 3 | Smoking Gun | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Drewhustle | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Sir Deputy | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Moon in the Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Goose Drank Wine | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Sir Brahms | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Xtreme Lyra | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | D’urban Park | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Rancho Bargo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
6 | 6 | Whata Perfect Day | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | Plumbago | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.