July 4, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kidmon | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Typhoon Harry | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whatsittoya | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | New Salute | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ju Ju Guy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Surely Spectacular | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sip Sip Hooray | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roses for Suzzett | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Shady | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweet Mary | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Auntie T Run | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dashing Demi | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Diva | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scam Likely | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Slippers | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flipping Fast | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ginja | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Pharaoh’s Girl | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glory of Chrome | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Koko’s Mom | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mira Loma Madam | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Defunded | 0.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classier | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | It’s My House | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ingest | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back Ring Luck | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Truth Seeker | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leprino | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snazzy Dresser | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Full of Luck (CHI) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stay Golden | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Full Draw | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Robber Baron | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Achilleus | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Little Miss Ellie | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Smoothlikebuttah | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cover Version | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Mama Superior | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Simmer Down | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pawnee | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stradari | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Eustace | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Black Storm | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awhitesportscoat | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bam Bam Again | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smileforme | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Raging Waters | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Speed Bomb | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afternoon Heat | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Close to Nowhere | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Speedy Lou C | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Chasey | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Complete Control | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Katie’s Paradise | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Circle of Honor | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dual Reality | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Island Flight | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Forever Free | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mistaka | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Lady Beyonce | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gotta Be Lucky | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reds Sacred Appeal | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mongolian Window | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You Wanna Ear Rip | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Secret Square | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kirsch Truffle | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Enough | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s A. T. M. | 50.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Info’s Treasure | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Diva in Charge | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.