Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 4, 2021

July 4, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Kidmon 1.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Typhoon Harry 2.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Whatsittoya 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 New Salute 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Ju Ju Guy 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Surely Spectacular 2.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Sip Sip Hooray 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Roses for Suzzett 4.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Miss Shady 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 My Sweet Mary 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Run Auntie T Run 8.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Dashing Demi 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Baby Diva 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Scam Likely 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Velvet Slippers 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Flipping Fast 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Ginja 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 The Pharaoh’s Girl 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Glory of Chrome 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Koko’s Mom 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Mira Loma Madam 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Defunded 0.60 1.5 3-1
1 1 Classier 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 It’s My House 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Ingest 6.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Back Ring Luck 15.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Truth Seeker 2.00 2 4-1
8 7 Leprino 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Snazzy Dresser 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Full of Luck (CHI) 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Stay Golden 15.00 6 11-1
7 6 Full Draw 15.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Robber Baron 20.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Achilleus 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Little Miss Ellie 2.00 1.9 4-1
7 5 Smoothlikebuttah 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 4 Cover Version 5.00 3.7 7-1
4 2 Mama Superior 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 3 Simmer Down 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Pawnee 1.80 SCRATCH
2 2 Stradari 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Eustace 3.00 2 4-1
7 7 Black Storm 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Awhitesportscoat 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bam Bam Again 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Smileforme 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Raging Waters 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Tiz a Speed Bomb 8.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Afternoon Heat 10.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Close to Nowhere 3.00 1.9 4-1
8 7 Speedy Lou C 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Sassy Chasey 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Complete Control 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Katie’s Paradise 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Circle of Honor 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Dual Reality 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Island Flight 15.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Forever Free 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Mistaka 0.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Lady Beyonce 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Gotta Be Lucky 5.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Reds Sacred Appeal 10.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mongolian Window 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 You Wanna Ear Rip 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Secret Square 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Kirsch Truffle 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Big Enough 20.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Charlie’s A. T. M. 50.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Info’s Treasure 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Diva in Charge 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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