Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 3, 2021

July 3, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady Moonshine 1.60 2 4-1
2 2 Who Says 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Beat the System 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ballymore Star (IRE) 2.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Buttered Toast 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Swilling 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Liquid Louie 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Denmark 2.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Red Return 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Cowardly Act 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Mayito 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Countryside Drive 20.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Ice Blue 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Sundance Hit 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Derzkii 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 King Causeway 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Giant Critic 3.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Veloce 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Argentium 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Mambointheforest 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 7 Elite Princess 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 1 Out Atthe Speedway 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 2 For My Elbi 4.00 3.9 7-1
12 8 Shuddacuddawudda 6.00 4.1 8-1
10 6 Queen Licia 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Kentucky Fan 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 4 Sea Fret 20.00 7.9 15-1
9 5 Cliff’s Head 20.00 8 15-1
1 1 Is There a Forest 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Drumgreenaghbridge 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 English Biscuit 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Born to Be Good 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lois Len 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Silver Magnatized 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Sugar Is Golden 5.00 3 6-1
9 9 Guileful 8.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Miss Naha Te 6.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Classic Queen 12.00 5.1 10-1
12 12 Fifth Anniversary 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Jimmy Is a Breeze 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Forest B 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Verdejo 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Silent Ghost 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Zafeather 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lady War Machine 2.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Right to Freedom 2.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 American Indy 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Rakasa 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Big Ginger 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Gwen 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Burlap 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Umneyaat 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Stephen 8.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Belichick 1.20 3.2 6-1
1 1 English Conqueror 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Flame Zapper 12.00 4 8-1
4 4 Guestimation 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Awesome Wok N Roll 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Reliability 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Tecumseh’s War 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Coleyville 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Desolator 30.00 7 13-1
6 6 Prideofdistinction 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Duper 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Little Miss Cat 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Sweet Edition 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Lacougra 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Overstate 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Benny’s Button 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Chasing Destiny 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Art of Almost 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Tappitty Tappitty 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Advocating 4.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Preferred Guest 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Above All Names 10.00 4 8-1
7 7 Take Chargechristy 20.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Silent Tango 20.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Saratoga Vision 20.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Afleet Katherine 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Juxtapose 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 H C Holiday 3.00 2 4-1
10 9 Knopfler 5.00 2.4 5-1
12 11 Pound Green 4.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Avoman 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Dancers Ghost 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Easy Weekend 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Glorious Tribute 10.00 5 9-1
2 1 Green Fleet 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 3 Sweepin Hard 20.00 7.7 15-1
9 8 Ammunition 20.00 7.9 15-1
5 4 Rogue Affair 20.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Dixie Giant 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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