July 3, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Moonshine | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Who Says | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beat the System | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballymore Star (IRE) | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Buttered Toast | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swilling | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Liquid Louie | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Denmark | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Return | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowardly Act | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mayito | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Countryside Drive | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ice Blue | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sundance Hit | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Derzkii | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Causeway | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Critic | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Veloce | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Argentium | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mambointheforest | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Elite Princess | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Out Atthe Speedway | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | For My Elbi | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Shuddacuddawudda | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Queen Licia | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kentucky Fan | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Sea Fret | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Cliff’s Head | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Is There a Forest | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Drumgreenaghbridge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | English Biscuit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Born to Be Good | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lois Len | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Magnatized | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Is Golden | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Guileful | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Naha Te | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Classic Queen | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fifth Anniversary | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jimmy Is a Breeze | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forest B | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Verdejo | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Ghost | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zafeather | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady War Machine | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Right to Freedom | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Indy | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rakasa | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Ginger | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gwen | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Burlap | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Umneyaat | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stephen | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belichick | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | English Conqueror | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flame Zapper | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Guestimation | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Wok N Roll | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Reliability | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tecumseh’s War | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coleyville | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Desolator | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Prideofdistinction | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Duper | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Miss Cat | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Edition | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lacougra | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Overstate | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Benny’s Button | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chasing Destiny | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Art of Almost | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tappitty Tappitty | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Advocating | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Preferred Guest | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Above All Names | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Chargechristy | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Tango | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Vision | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Afleet Katherine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Juxtapose | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | H C Holiday | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Knopfler | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Pound Green | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Avoman | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dancers Ghost | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Easy Weekend | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Glorious Tribute | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Green Fleet | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sweepin Hard | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ammunition | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rogue Affair | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Giant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.