July 3, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Acadian Girl | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Irish Brandi | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sheriff’s Kid | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meet Michelle | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Why Not You | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlight Miss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Fool Yourself | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Enter Sandwoman | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Prinecess Doir | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Indian Nichols | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Oil On Canvas | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beckon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | No Down Days | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fionnbharr | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Why Not Tonight | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Trip | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slaats | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Lot Like Xmas | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Epic Rise | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Up for the Chance | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Saban | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Ravenel | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Joyful Noise | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Calypso Ghost | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dat Dares Gold | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sarah’s Treasure | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | I’m So Munny | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Marie From Parie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Rad Paisley | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pederson’s Courage | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Bull | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Amigo | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thruster | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jack of Hearts | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Second Term | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | A Great Affair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Baltimore Bud | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Elusive Edge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Jenna the Boss | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bust Out Lady | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday in L B C | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zig | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ronomes | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Choice | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mystic Comin Home | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Way Or Else | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Forced | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Going to the Lead | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Day the Music Died | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wonder In | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Battlebus | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Candygramformongo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | River Tiber | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | John the Bear | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Godlovesasinner | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Slippin Jimmy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Railmaster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Prince Pere | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | By the Sey Shore | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nana’s Shoes | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rag Top | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sammie Sunshine | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bring Me Answers | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simmard Shenanigan | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Olive’s Bumpa | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.