Sports from the Basement

Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 3, 2021

July 3, 2021 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Righteously 1.80 1.7 3-1
1 1 Maggie’s Magic 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Malibu Mistress 2.50 2 4-1
5 5 Season to Remember 5.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Clubhouse Saint 8.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paige Runner 1.40 1.3 2-1
3 3 Lucky Peridot 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Sugary 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Tizno’s Dilemma 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Flatterwithjewels 8.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Delta Wind 0.80 1.3 2-1
6 6 Lakerbench 6.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Lake Flamingo 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Applaud the Bench 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Elgofranco 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Nan Elizabeth 8.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Iconic Storm 20.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Slew the Waters 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pasito 4.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Exchange Vows 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Miss Lady Ann 2.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Watch the Fed 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Nip Nap 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 None of Your Biz 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Casillalater 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Listen Linda 20.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Goddess Aphrodite 50.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Absolute Unit 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 American Dancer 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Kennebec 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Dr. Hoffman 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Railsplitter 6.00 5 10-1
1 1 Sigalert 5.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lady O’Prado 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bluegrass Sky 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Lucky Long Legs 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Big Passion 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Wild Arch 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Heart River 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Northern Gem 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Im Still Thirsty 2.50 1.3 2-1
9 8 Takeittothebank 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Louie Zamperini 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 9 Primed for Drinks 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 1 Socal Red 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Blazing Candy 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 5 Thirsty Chapo 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 6 Mesa Empire 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Smoken Shadow 15.00 8.4 16-1
1 1 Fantastic Dream 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 She’s a Dime 1.40 1.7 3-1
1 1 Harper’s Gallop 2.00 2 4-1
4 4 Risen Lady 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Feathers (IRE) 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Arctic Roll (GB) 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Prince Ricky 3.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Western Smoke 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 Desert Swarm 2.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 It’s Fitting 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Super Classic 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Arrivederci Roma 15.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Calder Vale 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Vegas Moon 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Mr. Clutch 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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