Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 3, 2021

July 3, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cajun’s Magic 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Fivefive Six Champ 3.50 2 4-1
7 7 Spuntacular 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Eye On the Candy 4.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Gilligan 6.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 One More Score 6.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Catching Magic 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Had Right 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Excalibur 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 7 Malibu Mandate 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Samaronti 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 5 Smokey Song 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Blakenstein 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Peruvian Dancer 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Road to Peace 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Load Up Moe 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Miss Yaya 6.00 2.2 4-1
7 5 Science 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Bahamian Beauty 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Bella Sofi 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Doittogether 30.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 G T’s Blue Squall 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 The Jokes On Me 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Magurli 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Kizzy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 We Bless Luck 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Lovin Livin 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 7 Sweet Actress 4.50 3 6-1
7 6 Jedi Jane 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Bunny Princess 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Aspropodia 8.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Trinni Beauty 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Commissio 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Farm Strong 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Feeling Dangerous 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Not So Easy 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 5 Macho Real 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 3 Bad Boy E. J. 30.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Shining Through 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Diligent 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Highly Noted 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Call Bros 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Coltonstheadmiral 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mony 6.00 SCRATCH
9 6 Bodie Cody 30.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Papa’s Little Girl 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Domineer 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Trevess 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Bahamian Girl 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Kozy Dreams 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Miss Miami 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Salsa Rita 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Oblio’s Wish 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Dahlonega 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 5 I’m Prayingforthat 6.00 3.1 6-1
6 4 J’s Indian Charm 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 6 The Great Kath 4.00 3.7 7-1
10 7 Kiffle 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Distinctly Blue 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 2 Stormy Nelly 20.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Katieleigh 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tony’s Rose 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Afficionado (FR) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Candy Crushem 2.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Green Mansions 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Dark Ages 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Aycapote 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Saint Larned 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Doctor D J 8.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Keepsakekitten 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 So Long Chuck 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 3 Financial System 4.00 4 8-1
4 2 Philo 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 1 Notsosubtle 12.00 5 9-1
10 5 Ambassador Jim 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 4 All Good 30.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Zap Daddy 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Majestic Luna 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jojo’s Dream 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mitzrayim 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Positive Phil 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Harbour Master (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fig Jelly 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Smile Sprint Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Diamond Oops 2.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Chance It 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 Miles Ahead 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Frosted Grace 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Double Crown 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Ournationonparade 12.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Shivaree 15.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Willy Boi 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Princess Rooney Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Estilo Talentoso 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Ce Ce 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Pacific Gale 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Laura’s Light 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Thissmytime 6.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Sound Machine 12.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Hallawallah 20.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Heiressall 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Campeador 4.50 3.1 6-1
16 11 Grrr 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Jarlian 10.00 5 9-1
15 10 The Gladiator (CHI) 12.00 5.1 10-1
11 8 Tintorero 15.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 Duel Fuel 20.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Sette Stelle 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Sweeney’s Cat 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mulsanne Run 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Carson and I 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Divine Control 20.00 SCRATCH
12 9 Prakriti 30.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Commander Trump 30.00 11.1 21-1
4 4 Authentic Heart 30.00 11.3 21-1
5 5 Blue Tequila 30.00 11.6 22-1
2 2 Smart Soldier 30.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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