Sports from the Basement

Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, July 3, 2021

July 3, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nakibeya 2.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Offlee Graysful 3.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 World Party 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Travel Girl 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Jordin’s Surprise 8.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Bodacious Blend 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Steely Band 10.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Flight to Shanghai 1.60 2 4-1
6 6 Suiko 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Sweet Home Dixie 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Tayler’s Chrome 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Same Moon 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Miner’s Gem 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Hope Has a Name 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 4 Beautiful Grace 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 1 Hitch a Ride 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 2 Bound for Broadway 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 3 Laughin’ Place 12.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Awesome Jazz 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shyla Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Uncle Mo’s Affair 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Doc Girl 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Woodbine Way 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Verbien O. P. 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Redeem Eddie 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Charge to Victory 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Cucina 6.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Meru 2.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Easy Day 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Band On Tour 10.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Arcadia Calls 12.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Tommy Shelby 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Christiana S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Mia Martina 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 4 Caldee 3.00 3.9 7-1
9 6 Out of Sorts 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Be Up 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 5 Triple Digit 12.00 7 13-1
3 2 Viburnum 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Hybrid Eclipse 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Orbs Baby Girl 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Malibu Beauty 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Striking Chrome 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Alapocas Run S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Always Sunshine 4.50 3.3 6-1
10 6 Whereshetoldmetogo 2.50 3.5 7-1
9 5 Speightsford 8.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Golden Candy 3.50 3.7 7-1
8 4 Threes Over Deuces 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Classy Solution 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Hauntedbythemusic 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tappin Cat 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sibelius 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Borracho 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kent S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Like the King 1.60 3.8 7-1
6 4 Eamonn 5.00 5 9-1
2 1 Yes This Time 3.50 5 9-1
4 2 Be Here 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 5 Wootton Asset (FR) 6.00 6.2 12-1
9 6 Doubleoseven 12.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Gershwin 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Shackled Love 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Vikram 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delaware Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Midnight Obsession 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Crazy Beautiful 1.20 3.5 7-1
6 6 Leader of the Band 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Juror Number Four 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 She a Hot Mess 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Hybrid Eclipse 10.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Orbs Baby Girl 15.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Baby Gundin 15.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Exogen 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Pruning 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 6 Takingtimeoff 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 4 Legitimately 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Indian Heart 5.00 4 8-1
9 7 Immense 10.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Bay B 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Farcical 15.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Unshakable U 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Getting Lucky 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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