July 3, 2021 Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nakibeya | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Offlee Graysful | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | World Party | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Travel Girl | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jordin’s Surprise | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bodacious Blend | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Steely Band | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Flight to Shanghai | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suiko | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Home Dixie | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tayler’s Chrome | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Same Moon | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miner’s Gem | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hope Has a Name | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Beautiful Grace | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Hitch a Ride | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Bound for Broadway | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Laughin’ Place | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Jazz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shyla Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Mo’s Affair | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Doc Girl | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Woodbine Way | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Verbien O. P. | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Redeem Eddie | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Charge to Victory | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cucina | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meru | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy Day | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Band On Tour | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arcadia Calls | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Shelby | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Christiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Mia Martina | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Caldee | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Out of Sorts | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Be Up | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Triple Digit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Viburnum | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hybrid Eclipse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Orbs Baby Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Beauty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Striking Chrome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Alapocas Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Always Sunshine | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Whereshetoldmetogo | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Speightsford | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Golden Candy | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Threes Over Deuces | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Classy Solution | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hauntedbythemusic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tappin Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sibelius | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Borracho | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Kent S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Like the King | 1.60 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Eamonn | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Yes This Time | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Be Here | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Wootton Asset (FR) | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Doubleoseven | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gershwin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shackled Love | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vikram | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delaware Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Obsession | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crazy Beautiful | 1.20 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leader of the Band | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Juror Number Four | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She a Hot Mess | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hybrid Eclipse | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orbs Baby Girl | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baby Gundin | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exogen | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pruning | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Takingtimeoff | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Legitimately | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Indian Heart | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Immense | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bay B | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Farcical | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Unshakable U | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Getting Lucky | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.