July 3, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 1 | Bella Principessa | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12A | 4 | To the Tune | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Home for Christmas | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Sweet Franny Lu | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13B | 5 | Tales of Makenna | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mondeuse | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lady Manhattan | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Raffinity | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Angeloverthepulpit | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6B | 6 | Escapewithfriends | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Saigon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Ashley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Masu | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Perfect Symphony | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daggerboard | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | My Primo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Up for Adventure | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Second Fortune | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Quick Return | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bolgheri | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Capt’ Remington | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Napoleon Complex | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tiergan | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Work Out | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quickflash | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Spirit | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Code | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bingo John | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Macho Boy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Doublepour | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Apex Predator | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Taino | 1.40 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Combat Ribbon | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Have a Heart | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Generalonamission | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Whichwaytomalibu | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Regality | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tallaj | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moonlight Now | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Good Culture | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Halstaat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Patty O’Marc | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | True Palace | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ajhar | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 7 | Chris and Dave | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Twisted Tom | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Vintage Hollywood | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Bodecream | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Chocolate Bar | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Alkhaatam | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ballagh Rocks | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 2 | Principled Stand (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Island Commish | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Emaraaty (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Dreams of Tomorrow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Price Talk | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Morning Breez | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 5 | Forever Poe | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Storm Advisory | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Skipin On Orchard | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Strolling | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alcools | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Vineyard Sound | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cause of Action | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Zaevion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Johnny Sack | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11A | 7 | Ghazaaly | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Founder | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Restored Order | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wolfie’s Dynaghost | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Spectatorless | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mira Mission | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sifting Sands (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Space Launch | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9A | 9 | Munqad | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Perfect Sting S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 4 | Velvet Crush | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Truth Hurts | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hogans Holiday | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Piedi Bianchi | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Honey Cake (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Princess Grace | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Kiss (GB) | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Madita (GER) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Viadera (GB) | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Suburban S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mystic Guide | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Happy Saver | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moretti | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Max Player | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Informative | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prioritize | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.