July 2, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Bo | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Avie’s Mesa | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aheadbyacentury | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Giant Mine | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heydon’s Case | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Greenfield | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Idolize You | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Glitter Mountain | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sydney | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gizmo Rogers | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Put a Hemi in Her | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Born to Be King | 1.80 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Thou | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cardiff Hall | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P S Charlie Brown | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Savvy | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosebud’s Hope | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Garter | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Mistake | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Respect | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | West Paw | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Secret Path | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Itmakesmewonder | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Drone Swarm | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spanish Major | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Knight Kingdom | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Charles Street | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Stop the Humbug | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Torah’s Blessing | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Franco’s Honour | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowardly Act | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pugin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | White Wedding | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Conquer Him | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sundance Hit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Miracle Silver | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Solar | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sir Seamus | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Threshold | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Another | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Told It All | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artistico | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Trigger’s Bay | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sun Daddy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Four Bounce | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hiatus | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wenjack | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Keen | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Same Again Doc | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dr. Green | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Arquebus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Silent Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dominant Factor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Maximus Momentus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Jr Bourbon | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spiral Storm | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Best and Final | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Silver Dahlia | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Takota | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hello Friends | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teacher’s Pet | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jilli Marie | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ima Beast | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’ll Take the Gold | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Samuel H | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Boy Benny | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daddyplaystheblues | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Exit | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Strong Attitude | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hit This Town | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Letting Loose | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pouroso | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Celtic Chief | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Have Hope | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Scout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Liverpool Man | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Call Me Kalen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.