July 2, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maudest Maven | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hard Rock Candy | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storman Norman | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nsm Parks Candy Girl | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Lips Wagon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hasta Be Relentless | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Go Giva Hoot | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Got the Candy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kokomo Cove | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hastabetickled | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bhr Kacey Long Dash | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wagon Full of Prizes | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sfs Corona Tough | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Napili | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chance of Frost | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Giggles and Smoke | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Atoka Girl | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She’s a Lucky One | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Munny | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love to Learn | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Atlantis Alana | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Love Shack | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Repeal | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa’s Secret | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Her Way Or No Way | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swanky Lisa | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seeking Honor | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Diamond | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lingering Promise | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unherdof | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grace Forever | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kelly Be Krusin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iowa Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Super Stock | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rightandjust | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nova Rags | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gagetown | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flash of Mischief | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stilleto Boy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proxy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Thunder | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Snow House | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pauline’s Pearl | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Army Wife | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Grass Is Blue | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Annie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shesa Mystery | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Windmill | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oliviaofthedesert | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Prairie Meadows Cornhusker H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Knicks Go | 1.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Judgment | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tenfold | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Modernist | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rated R Superstar | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dinar | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drifting West | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Catechism | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pioneerof New York | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Matt’s Honey | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sing Along Suzy | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hush Y’all | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My First Pearl | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flyta | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Flash | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.