Sports from the Basement

Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 2, 2021

July 2, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Maudest Maven 1.20 1.1 2-1
5 5 Hard Rock Candy 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Storman Norman 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Nsm Parks Candy Girl 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Red Lips Wagon 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Hasta Be Relentless 10.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Go Giva Hoot 3.50 2 4-1
6 5 Got the Candy 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Kokomo Cove 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Hastabetickled 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Bhr Kacey Long Dash 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Wagon Full of Prizes 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Sfs Corona Tough 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Napili 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 6 Chance of Frost 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 4 Giggles and Smoke 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Atoka Girl 6.00 4 8-1
3 2 She’s a Lucky One 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Wild Munny 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Love to Learn 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Atlantis Alana 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Little Love Shack 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Repeal 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Papa’s Secret 5.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Her Way Or No Way 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Swanky Lisa 8.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seeking Honor 3.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Northern Diamond 1.60 1.9 4-1
2 2 Lingering Promise 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Unherdof 5.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Grace Forever 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Kelly Be Krusin 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Iowa Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Super Stock 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Rightandjust 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Nova Rags 5.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Gagetown 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Flash of Mischief 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Stilleto Boy 12.00 7 13-1
1 1 Proxy 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bourbon Thunder 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Snow House 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Iowa Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Pauline’s Pearl 2.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Army Wife 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 The Grass Is Blue 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sister Annie 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Shesa Mystery 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Windmill 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Oliviaofthedesert 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Prairie Meadows Cornhusker H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Knicks Go 1.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Last Judgment 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Tenfold 6.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Modernist 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Rated R Superstar 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Dinar 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Drifting West 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Catechism 2.50 1.8 3-1
8 8 Pioneerof New York 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Matt’s Honey 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Sing Along Suzy 8.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Hush Y’all 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 My First Pearl 8.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Flyta 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Distorted Flash 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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