Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 2, 2021

July 2, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grapevine 1.80 1.3 2-1
6 6 Z U in My Dreams 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Cesso 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 La Guerrerita 5.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 Tiz a Queen 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Gold Gem 4.50 5.6 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nicky Two Shoes 1.40 3.2 6-1
4 2 Gate Crew 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 3 Savage 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 4 Wave’ndumoni 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Burl 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Temper Tantrum 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kingsbury Dream 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Rare Action Attack 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Lion Love 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Rank and File 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Launch Away 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Manhattan Legacy 6.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Angelino 2.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 One Way Home 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Andreas 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Zanforce 20.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Call the Colonel 10.00 5 9-1
5 4 Penalty Shot 4.00 7 13-1
4 4 Hinton 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Driver Dan 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nofansinthestands 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Isabis 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Girls Count 12.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Aka Lioness 2.50 3.7 7-1
7 6 Ruler Daenerys 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bird Key 3.00 5 9-1
6 6 Supreme Irene 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Morriston 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Irish Lighted Road 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Lastfortinofamily 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Nip N Tuck 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 5 Will Ya Win Sum 4.50 6 11-1
5 5 Last Spring 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mango Tree 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Hero Alexandra 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 7 Zandrea’s 5.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Brunella 4.00 5.8 11-1
6 4 Simply Fast 12.00 6 11-1
9 6 Eye On the Finish 10.00 6.2 12-1
4 2 White Lies 8.00 6.9 13-1
7 5 Present of Hero 10.00 9.3 17-1
1 1 Windy City Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Princess Cora 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 April’s Gem 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fixico 2.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mr. Eleventh Hour 15.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Its My Bag Baby 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Cloud to Ground 8.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Mister Charming 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 The Gray Blur 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Souper Highvoltage 10.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Change Direction 4.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Majestic John’s 10.00 6.8 13-1
11 10 Talis Park Grad 6.00 9.3 18-1
9 9 Renegade Bob 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.