Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 1, 2021

July 1, 2021 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Negotiations 2.50 1.7 3-1
3 3 Call Me Wally 1.60 3.5 7-1
6 6 Pink Lemonade 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Mas Chikilin 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Executive Sight 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Gasconade 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 First Spring 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Splendida 4.00 4.8 9-1
13 12 Shes Astylish Katz 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Ri N Ginger 3.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Bearthestorm 10.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Dancing Zazinga 8.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 My Dad Rocks 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Popthechampagne 12.00 7.8 15-1
12 11 Moonlight Melody 15.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Honey Girl 20.00 9 17-1
11 10 Rhythmic 20.00 9.2 17-1
10 10 Federal Court 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shishka 15.00 10 19-1
9 9 Trickeration 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Carmenootz 6.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Brass Compass 2.50 3.4 7-1
6 6 Piven 2.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Sure Would Forest 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Seau 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bay of Rum 20.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Drena’s Bullet 15.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Big Cheeks 3.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Sweet Shades 6.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 She’s a True Fox 4.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Alternative View 3.00 6 11-1
11 11 Vinyasa 10.00 8 15-1
5 5 Blueyed Princess 12.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Savvy’s Sister 10.00 9.2 17-1
4 4 Senorita Uno 20.00 9.3 18-1
10 10 Echo in the Forest 20.00 9.6 18-1
12 12 Asha Ironborn 4.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Penetanguishene 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Intricately 20.00 10 19-1
1 1 Under the Eye 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alice’s War 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Close Image 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 The Adrie Factor 4.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Bella Nina 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Good to Me 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Make No Mistake 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Tiz My Right 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Line of Vision 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Using Coconuts 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Jungle Goddess 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Fancysoul 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Moonlit Silence 5.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 So Elusive 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Itskathiesluckyday 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Poinciana 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 She Takes Flight 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Sky of Dreams 10.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Smarty Illusion 12.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Suspicious Minds 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Dominion Day S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 March to the Arch 1.80 2.4 4-1
4 3 Mighty Heart 2.50 2.6 5-1
7 5 Skywire 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lookin to Strike 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Malibu Mambo 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Atone 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Belichick 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Naitaka 3.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 Delightful Dreamer 3.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Let’s Get It Did 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Snow Squall 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 If Six Was Nine 10.00 5.8 11-1
11 11 Rosa’s Soul 8.00 7 13-1
12 12 Termsandconditions 15.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Candy’s Dream 6.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Echo Strike Again 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Pocket 20.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Dispense 15.00 9.1 17-1
13 13 Viani 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Queen Andher Court 20.00 10.4 20-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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