Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 1, 2021

July 1, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lucago 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Whiskeyonhislips 1.40 3 6-1
2 2 Fishing for Fun 3.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Adventure Seeker 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Poetic Code 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Bourbon Over Ice 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Agent Cooper 15.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Magical Warrior 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Resident 1.40 4 8-1
7 6 Joy City 2.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Robintakincharge 2.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Mayor Remo 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Joe Benjamin 4.50 5.1 10-1
4 3 Uncle Armando 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Mista Donzella 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Fear the Deer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Queen Camilla 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lara’s Lady 1.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Baby Blue 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 My Sassenach 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Shes a Gift 8.00 4 8-1
7 6 Yes I’m Spiteful 20.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Bal a Bella 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Follow Me Mom 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 4 Beauty Queen 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Ruby Lee 12.00 3.8 7-1
9 7 Yellen 5.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Princess Carrigan 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 1 Hy Dollface 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Beating the Odds 10.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Shes One Mad Momma 30.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Happy Loudon 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Henni Penny 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Frankly My Dear 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 1 Mackenzie’s Girl 1.60 3.2 6-1
3 2 House Wrecker 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Romantic Tale 12.00 6.1 11-1
5 4 Looking for Love 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Jazla 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Princess Betty 1.80 3.8 7-1
4 2 Waiting for a Star 8.00 6 11-1
7 3 Twirling Star 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Little Bit Good 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Money Factor 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Something Magical 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Wonder Blondy 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Isadorable Aida 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Silver Package 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Miss Mikaela 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Siren’s Lucky Song 1.60 3.8 7-1
3 3 Miss Italy 4.00 4 8-1
4 4 Sheza Happy Girl 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Perfect Kimberly S 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Driving Wind 2.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Luckytohavemyvicki 2.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Julie Bird (IRE) 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 My Beauty Princess 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Competitive Star 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Flat Out Cool 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Fabiola Princess 20.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Senorita Salsa 30.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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