Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, July 1, 2021

July 1, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Try SFTB Plus for Free

$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Excess Capacity 1.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Mongolian Humor 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Lovely Lady Lexi 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Persian Queen 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Awesome Alana 8.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gateway Guardian 8.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Voliero 2.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Dreampoint 3.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Masked Marauder 3.50 5 9-1
10 9 Jack’s Dream 8.00 5 10-1
12 10 Noble Conquest 12.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Spiritual King 12.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 On Mick’s Day 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Sugar Plum King 20.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Addicted to You 30.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Reunion Tour 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Lucky Brody 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Rush to Honor 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kerik 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Extra Effort 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Tenderness 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Left Leaning Lucy 4.00 3 6-1
4 3 Gentle Annie 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Happy Sophia 12.00 5 10-1
3 3 Sky Kitten 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Public Information 1.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Amistad 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Jarreau 3.50 3.2 6-1
6 5 More Like It 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 K. K. Ichikawa 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Bringing the Heat 20.00 6.7 13-1
5 4 Scotty 30.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Breaking Stones 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Irish Giant 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Regality 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Darn That Song 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 3 Princessinparadise 2.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Ready A. P. 2.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 One Track Mine 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Sweet Sugar Baby 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Helens Spirit 12.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Evidence Based 2.00 1.5 3-1
6 3 Adele Kat 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Mary Jane Chrome 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 4 Know How (GB) 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Little Nutter 8.00 3.8 7-1
11A 8 Synonymous 8.00 4.6 9-1
10 7 Soupster 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 6 Thismightbetheone 20.00 6.7 13-1
2A 2 Exotic Cat 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Strong Point 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Superbloodwolfmoon 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Town Classic 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 1 Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 4 Clench 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 3 Happy Farm 1.80 2.6 5-1
4 2 Musical America 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 6 American Rule 50.00 7.4 14-1
1A 1 Strolling 15.00 SCRATCH
3A 3 The Sicarii 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Spungie 1.00 2.8 5-1
9 7 Big Al’s Gal 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Pandamom 3.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Pure Bode 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Electric Youth 12.00 7 13-1
7 5 Emma and I 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Sweeter 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ok Honey 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Ifihadachance 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Pay Grade 3.00 SCRATCH
12A 12 Caramocha 15.00 SCRATCH
8A 6 Chasing Cara 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Inspiration Point 2.50 2.5 5-1
9 9 Value Chain 8.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bail Out 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Centurion 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Declareatruce 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Prince of Caps 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Hilliard 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Romantic Man 20.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Jedrek 20.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Islandman 30.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Go To Lobby
SFTB Plus

$10 a Month Gets You DFS Optimizers, Horse Racing Advanced Stats, and More.

Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!

Learn More
SFTB Parties

Choose Your Events and Create Your Own Sportsbook for You and Your Friends.

Only $3 to set up, and includes unlimited guests.

Learn More
Scoreboard
Go to Scoreboard