July 1, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Excess Capacity | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Humor | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Persian Queen | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Alana | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gateway Guardian | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Voliero | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreampoint | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Masked Marauder | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Jack’s Dream | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Noble Conquest | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spiritual King | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On Mick’s Day | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar Plum King | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Addicted to You | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reunion Tour | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Brody | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Rush to Honor | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Kerik | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Extra Effort | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tenderness | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Left Leaning Lucy | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gentle Annie | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Happy Sophia | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sky Kitten | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Public Information | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amistad | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jarreau | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | More Like It | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | K. K. Ichikawa | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bringing the Heat | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Scotty | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Breaking Stones | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Irish Giant | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Regality | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Darn That Song | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princessinparadise | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ready A. P. | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Track Mine | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Sugar Baby | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Helens Spirit | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Evidence Based | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Adele Kat | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mary Jane Chrome | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Know How (GB) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Nutter | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11A | 8 | Synonymous | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Soupster | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Thismightbetheone | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Exotic Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Strong Point | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Superbloodwolfmoon | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Town Classic | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mi Tres Por Ciento (CHI) | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Clench | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Happy Farm | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Musical America | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | American Rule | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Strolling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | The Sicarii | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spungie | 1.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Big Al’s Gal | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pandamom | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pure Bode | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Electric Youth | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Emma and I | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweeter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ok Honey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ifihadachance | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pay Grade | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Caramocha | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 6 | Chasing Cara | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inspiration Point | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Value Chain | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bail Out | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Centurion | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Declareatruce | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Caps | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hilliard | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Romantic Man | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jedrek | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Islandman | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.