Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, June 30, 2021

June 30, 2021 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Brays French Toast 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 4 Ttt Selene 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 2 Jet Piloto 10.00 4.5 8-1
8 5 Jessa Fast Pop Sm 12.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Man He Fresh 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Mps Dashin Funny 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Wyatts Flyin Rogue 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Jj Babys Cartel 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dont Doc Daisy 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Waylons Lil Shooter 1.60 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lomachenko 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Eves Fast Rogue 5.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Bringinghomethemoney 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Pips Caliente 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Dash for Warrior 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Oh Dat Curl 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Bbs Rosecolorglasses 4.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Jj Coronas Star 3.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Wild as You Too 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 One Sweet Story 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Jitter B Zoomin 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Ms Fast Cash 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 You Bet Rhett 12.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Hezas Sin Tachas 20.00 6.6 13-1
4 4 Tf Eyes That Guy 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Jess Louisiana Tee 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Tm Dees Shine 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Dashn for Moonlight 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Louisiana Flyboy 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 No Key Needed 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Eton 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Dwaynes First Perry 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jls Classy Beduino 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 A Political Toast 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Jj Cartel Keepnit 2.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Guccia Fast Tee 8.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Geri P 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bobos Ride 12.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Cartels Legacy 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 In Blues Dreams 20.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Jess Me Jettin Yall 15.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Jessa Freightliner 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grands Choise 1.40 1.7 3-1
6 5 Rockin Bye Chocolate 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Carry On Cuervo 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Justawonderjewel 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 El Resortes 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Tc Annas Girl 15.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Lite Hearted 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Fast Dashing Curl 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Fast Jess 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Gpf One Sweet Patsy 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Jess Blue Game 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Little Jess Meyers 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Js Goldndrina 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Ttt Eileithyia 10.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Sf Mito Fast 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 9 Mr Manuel 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Tdz Toast to Blue 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Modelo Negra 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Dynastys Five Bar 2.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Tdz Shes a Runaway 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Magicspatrioticlady 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Rh Shake Em Dreams 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Herez the Bar 12.00 5 10-1
3 3 Im Leavin Zoomin 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Afourleafclover 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 4 Steam Rollyr 3.50 3 6-1
8 5 Fast N Famous Eagle 5.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Jess Redwhiteandblue 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 6 Two Nine Go 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 3 Jess Tolltac 12.00 7.3 14-1
3 2 Fdd Abcallie Grand 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Taylor Made Cartel 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jrs Coronas Gatorgal 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Da Pool Do 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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