Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 20, 2021

June 20, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magic Solution 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 Stolen Glance 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Smooth Dancer 3.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 New Rules 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Next Time You Win 5.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Chocolate Bunny 20.00 1.4 3-1
4 3 Tea After Ballet 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 4 Maga Country 0.80 1.7 3-1
6 5 Easton Rocks 3.00 1.7 3-1
2 1 Rocket Ride 8.00 3.4 7-1
1 1 Mr. Springtime 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Tap It Over 1.80 1.1 2-1
3 2 Bells of Joy 4.50 2 4-1
1 1 Stacy Attack 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 U Can Do It 3.50 3 6-1
5 4 Joan’s Way 4.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Spy a Star 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Backside Beauty 1.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Me too Mo 20.00 4 8-1
4 4 Arbitrary 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Lipliner 5.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Ozette 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Tizaladybug 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Unlimiteddataplan 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Lady Atlantic 6.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Bobby Baby 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 1 Mark of the Z 4.00 3.6 7-1
4 2 Never Have I Ever (IRE) 1.40 4.7 9-1
7 4 Malpais 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Last Spring 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sniper Kitten 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Fulco 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Paulette 5.00 1.9 4-1
5 4 Dance the Day Away 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Little Chick 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 5 Close to Me 3.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Satiate 3.50 6.2 12-1
7 6 No Interest 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Chlobee 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ah Leah 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Zip Attack Baby 20.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Locash 15.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Aka Lioness 2.00 4 8-1
7 7 Hoodwink 1.40 4.1 8-1
1 1 Alotmoreaction 3.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Irina’s Hero 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cat Attack 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Music City Star 1.60 2.6 5-1
7 6 Someone Said So 6.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Big Band Luzziann 4.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Princess Stella (IRE) 8.00 4 8-1
6 5 Jolina 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 7 A Merry Prankster 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Covenant Lady 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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