Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 19, 2021

June 19, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Our Hoisted Mast 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 New Frontier 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 More Twirl 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Swing Your Sword 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Commanding General 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Doobiedoobiedoobie 8.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 King Mauro 3.50 2.6 5-1
6 6 Souper Catch 1.40 3 6-1
3 3 Unequivocal 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Cape Lookout 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Charging Lion 8.00 4 7-1
2 2 Glengar 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Campari 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Josef Is Real 2.00 3 6-1
5 5 Tyreek 10.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Contraflow 2.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 Mosby’s Ranger 5.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Street Prayer 8.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Officer Country 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Championship Alley 15.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 I’ve Gotta Plan 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 King of Leinster (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Always Misbehaving 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Belmullet 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Hard to Be Humble 1.60 SCRATCH
14 14 Pay the Kid 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Just Go With It 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bold Trek 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bear Treasure 30.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Band On Tour 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Artistic Reason 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 3 Exculpatory 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 4 Ima Ima Starboy 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Subject to Change 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 The Wolfman 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bernie’s On Fire 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Street Silence 4.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Deshackled 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Degas 3.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Speightster Red 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 H R H Jellybean 3.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Sweet Asta 15.00 6 11-1
4 4 Golden Can 4.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Flank Speed 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Crying for More 20.00 10 19-1
10 10 Hartel 2.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Awesome Jazz 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Fulco 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Bloodprof 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Egg Nog 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Nine Mast 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Mick’sbestbetyet 4.50 5.5 10-1
10 10 C Two 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Spritz of Sprite 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Honor the Tab 12.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Slip Slidin 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Broadway Trouper 6.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 La Smarty 20.00 8.3 16-1
7 7 White Whiskey 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Railmaster 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Joseph 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Matta 1.60 5 10-1
6 6 Sue Loves Barbados 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Mice and Men 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Grateful Bred 2.50 5.9 11-1
1 1 Benny Havens 12.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Prince Pere 12.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Little Bold Bandit 30.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Super E 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Gale Winds 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 After Five 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Sizzling Hot 2.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Originalist 10.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 No Chance Given 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Tam Char 10.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Tidal Waters 12.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Rona 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Mosler’s Touch 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Peace Out 20.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Tipsy Tourist 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gunnison 3.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 King’s Honor (IRE) 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Prince James 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Broker’s Reward 4.50 4.6 9-1
10 8 Rejected Again 4.50 5 9-1
8 7 Closer Look 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Papal Law 4.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Heza Kitten 15.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Hanalei’s Houdini 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 McElmore Avenue 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Confusion Baby Boy 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 6 Outside the Box 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Tale of Dixie 15.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Dream d’Oro 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Seize the Day 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Sing a Verse 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Gator Fifty Two 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Justice of War 12.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Cooke Brothers 1.80 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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