June 19, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kiss and Run | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giggle Factory | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Pinky | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sengekontacket | 3.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joqular | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Better With Age | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Happiness | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gray Destiny | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seahorse d’Oro | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magical Romance | 50.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | No Down Days | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12A | 12 | Blue Paynt | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Baba | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Yankee Division | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Realm | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dust Devil | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Arham | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fort Worth | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Sack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Flower Point | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gogo Shoes | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cost Benefit (GB) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Affair | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Katama Moonlight | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kansas Kis | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Mischief | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hotsy Totsy (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | True Castle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | L’Indiscret | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Boombastic | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ocean Air | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hohohoho | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mirabell Mei | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Summer in the City | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Suspended Campaign | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Emma and I | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cherokee Song | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Entwine (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Amity Island | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Easter Chocolate | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Summer At the Spa | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Combination | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Strolling | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Runaway Lute | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sicilia Mike | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Hooray for Harvey | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Professor Snape | 50.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Vicar’s Legend | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 9 | Manifest Destiny | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | The Great Dansky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hawaiian Noises | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Proper Grammar | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sport Model | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ava’s Grace | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shaker Shack | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lot of Honey | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Funwhileitlasted | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Time Lady | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shesadirtydancer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adriatic Rose | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show Me the Honey | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beach Banker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Smile Bryan | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Attentive | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Clear Vision | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mo Gotcha | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Boru | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Street Copper | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Noble Thought | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Soulmate | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mandate | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Acker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vettori Kin (BRZ) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | My First Grammy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Risk Profile | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Indeed | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Counselor | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Purple Hearted | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Gun Tommy | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sono Grato | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scotty | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Breaking Stones | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Barrage | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dreamer’s Disease | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ocala Dream | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Devious Mo | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Step Dancer | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | It’s Gravy | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | The King Cheek | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hold the Salsa | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Market Alert | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Buck | 4.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunderbird Cafe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | King Moonracer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sinful Dancer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gods Will | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Jacks American Pie | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tootsie’s Song | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pals Saratoga Gal | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Normandy | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Idalisa | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Domenica | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Know It All Red | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Captivating Cara | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Maria’s Gift | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ob La Di | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Queentigua | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Angeloverthepulpit | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emerald Banker | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.