June 19, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Angelino | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Driver Dan | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxximum Energy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dance the Day Away | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Zanforce | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kearny County | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Saturdays Hangover | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Penalty Shot | 2.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Betwithbothhands | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Emmys | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bizzee Channel | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Atone | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Real Story | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Going With Style | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Galahad Kid | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Force | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberal Lunacy | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sacra Hoxen | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ripe Attack | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Betweenhereandcool | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Riv | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Chopper | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Symbolist | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wilton | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Skip the Smalltalk | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kit Kowaleski | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | White Mist | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speak English | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Delft Blue | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | King Tito | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cachaco | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Kingsburry Attack | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dream Attack | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Burl | 1.40 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Simple Logic | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mommas Boy Otis | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gold Incense | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cask | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Bolston | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Draft Capital | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Powerful Man | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Hint of Gray | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Andthethunderrolls | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cockalorum | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hide the Demon | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | City Drifter | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Shirt No Shoes | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chinobe | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Readthecliffnotes | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Get Hammered | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sturgill | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Orb of the Boro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Tap It Over | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Deep Dish | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Torn Jeans | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Plants and Birds | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Hard to Access | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nofansinthestands | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dolly’s Line | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Frost | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp Hero | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Isabis | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Gem | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.