Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 19, 2021

June 19, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Angelino 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 4 Driver Dan 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Maxximum Energy 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dance the Day Away 10.00 SCRATCH
3 1 Zanforce 20.00 4.5 9-1
8 6 Kearny County 5.00 5.1 10-1
4 2 Saturdays Hangover 20.00 5.3 10-1
5 3 Penalty Shot 2.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Betwithbothhands 5.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Two Emmys 2.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Bizzee Channel 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Atone 4.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Real Story 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Going With Style 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Galahad Kid 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Elusive Force 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Liberal Lunacy 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Sacra Hoxen 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Ripe Attack 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Betweenhereandcool 4.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Riv 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Chopper 4.50 1.5 3-1
7 6 Symbolist 10.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Wilton 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Skip the Smalltalk 3.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Kit Kowaleski 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 White Mist 20.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Speak English 6.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Delft Blue 3.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 King Tito 6.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Cachaco 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Kingsburry Attack 20.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Dream Attack 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Burl 1.40 3.4 7-1
7 6 Simple Logic 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 3 Mommas Boy Otis 3.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gold Incense 2.50 1.4 3-1
9 9 Cask 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Lord Bolston 15.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Draft Capital 4.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Holding Pattern 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Powerful Man 30.00 5 9-1
7 7 A Hint of Gray 15.00 5 10-1
5 5 Andthethunderrolls 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Cockalorum 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hide the Demon 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 City Drifter 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 No Shirt No Shoes 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 7 Chinobe 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Readthecliffnotes 2.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Get Hammered 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sturgill 15.00 5 9-1
7 7 Orb of the Boro 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Tap It Over 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Deep Dish 8.00 2 4-1
7 6 Torn Jeans 4.50 3 6-1
6 6 Plants and Birds 6.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Hard to Access 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Nofansinthestands 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Dolly’s Line 6.00 4.8 9-1
9 8 Midnight Frost 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sharp Hero 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Isabis 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Gold Gem 20.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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