June 18, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Especiallea | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Striking It Lucky | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ghost Stalker | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dance Pants | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Shades of Gray | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Stringfella | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | B Determined | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sebastian | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fermat | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brightwood | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Cranston’s Network | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ichigo | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ladneedsahandler | 1.40 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fading Scars | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Antipoison | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Virginia Fib | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crack the Safe | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 8 | Johng | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Order for Porky | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Market Mover | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | King Causeway | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | So Dialed In | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | U S Constitution | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Make a Stand | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rising Perry | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. d’Angelo | 4.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Venezuela | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Fleet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Jammin Still | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | It’s Sizzling Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | English Tavern | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | J Beresford Tipton | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Martini Lane | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ghost On a Mission | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Shaka Style | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Gottaway | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Where’s the Ben’s | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Sky Painter | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Amen Corner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fire in the Hole | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kinda Lucky | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghost Maiden | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closertotheheart | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fool Yourself | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eye of the Needle | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Baffle ‘Em | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monster Rising | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Polish Cookie | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pounding Music | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pau Hana | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Self Assured | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lemon Drop Kiss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Look What I Found | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bella Bettina | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Except Temptation | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zip the Lip | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fifty Seven Chevy | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Rojo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Get Lit | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Not Telling | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Straitouta Congtin | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Shipman | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | El Sicario | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rohrbacher | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Ramsey | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunslinger (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tappahannock | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uhwarrie Sky | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | No Knock Raid | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Apreciado | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Posterity | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laddie Liam | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | National Honor | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Kikinboy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Argentic (FR) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Little Sir John | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Golden G | 0.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pet’s Night | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ziggy Springer | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Pepe and Heywood | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Raeford | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bean Pole | 50.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Called to Rise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Crown | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.