June 18, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Egomaniac | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Semi Charmed Day | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rakeez | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Wood (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dom Caetano (ARG) | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Edison Fire | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Intuicao (BRZ) | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Moon of Love (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Senora Roma | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aiken to Be | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Angelcents | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Richies Great Girl | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | The Gray Blur | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Givin Up None | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grand Hideaway | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chapel Barn | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beast Mode | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Crankshaft | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | V Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Majestic John’s | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Get None | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wanna Have Fun | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vegan Goes Best | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rapid Transit | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Hey | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Hoppestry | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | U. S. Currency | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nothins Free | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tinderella | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stormy Empire | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kenai Cool | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bobbie too Too | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Bodemax | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lil B Quick | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chlobee | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ioya Again | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Iwillpersevere | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tuff Attack | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fly Nightly | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coming Up Aces | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Quarters | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baroque | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | High On Sugar | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Huey Attack | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy D | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Duchossois | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Krewe Chief | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Campioni | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Tan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardly a Secret | 4.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | And Won | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gagoots | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zarmae | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smiling Silas | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Night Things | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pocket Player | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Christmas Present | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Half Cocked | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tom’s Last General | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Griff | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | War Lance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.