Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 17, 2021

June 17, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Juggler 1.80 1.6 3-1
6 6 Coinage 1.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Silver Samurai 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Surprise Boss 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Heart of Savino 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Red Jet 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6A 4 Here Comes Jackie 5.00 3 6-1
3 2 Bee Bit 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 3 Flashing Red 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 6 Vip Nation 2.50 4.8 9-1
10 7 Equal Measure 3.50 5.6 11-1
7 5 Factoring 20.00 7.1 14-1
2 2 Mongolian Humor 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Short Pour 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Awesome Indra 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Daria’s Angel 2.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Ok Honey 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cartwheel 3.50 SCRATCH
14A 14 Miss Liana 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Athwaaq 30.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kreesie 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Giacosa 3.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 War Canoe 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Dancing Kiki 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 5 Two Cent Tootsie 20.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Chocolate Cookie 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Teetotaler 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Advance Notice 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Benintendi 1.40 2.5 5-1
7 7 Trash Talker 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Deputy Flag 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Full Court Press 10.00 4 7-1
3 3 Matty’s Marauder 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Nutsie 10.00 5 10-1
5 5 Magnificent Chrome 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Malibu Pro 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Legit 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Potantico 8.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Alcools 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Mubarmaj 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Easy Shot 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Not That Brady 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Baby I’m Perfect 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Supreme Aura 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Flaming Rouge 3.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Single Soul (GB) 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Palamos (GB) 2.50 2.5 5-1
8 7 Black Sand (GB) 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Miss Bonnie T 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Kitten Tales 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Quinevere (GER) 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Harvey’s Princess 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maiden Beauty 1.60 1.1 2-1
5 5 Fair Regis 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Dublinornothin 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 6 Courageous Girl 15.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rossa Veloce 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Fight On Lucy 15.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Wasp 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Ice Princess 4.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Candy Flower 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Apurate 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 8 Princess Fawzia 6.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Star Devine (IRE) 2.50 3.4 6-1
8 7 So Darn Hot 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Pecatonica 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Wicked Amber 30.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Stolen Holiday 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Straight Skinny 3.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Tough Workout 5.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Brennan’s War 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Lord Flintshire 1.20 2.9 6-1
5A 5 Bielefeld 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Kanithappen 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Prince of Joy 30.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Theitalianamerican 20.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Feyderspiel 50.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Hold the Irish 50.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Gods Will 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Reunion Tour 2.50 SCRATCH
13A 13 Cox’s Ledge 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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