Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 17, 2021

June 17, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Radiant Castle 8.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 W W Candy 4.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Jettin Out 1.60 3.1 6-1
1 1 Red Hot Devil 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 One Putt Richie 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Talis Park Grad 4.50 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Grey Mask 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Young Corbett 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bel Bimbo 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Elusive Force 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Tre Lee Divine 3.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dark Ninja 2.50 5.6 11-1
5 5 Croce d’Oro 5.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Power Cry 12.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 J Z’s Last Try 6.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Dom the Bomb 1.40 3.7 7-1
3 3 Mongol Bull 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Magi 10.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Dangersmymiddlname 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Boom Box 4.50 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Let’s Cruise 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Khozie’s Ghost 12.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Silver Cloud 4.50 1.5 3-1
5 4 Lily’s Woofy 4.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Threatlevelmidnite (GB) 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 She’s Wandaful 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Trumpet Lilly 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Maystart 2.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 City Fun 4.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Varsity Flygirl 10.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Stack Shack 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 April’s Gem 4.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Double Dawn 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Tiz Susan Ann 3.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Ballybrack Lass 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Godsgift 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Antecedence 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Special Conquest 8.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Fancy Empress 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 4 Emily Bug 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Lady Creed 2.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kuringai 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Seven Seventeen 8.00 2.4 4-1
8 8 Romantic Attack 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Apollo U Anywhere 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Risky Risky Risky 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Catnip Kitten 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Her Gold Mine 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Golden Lily 10.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Clemson Tiger 12.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Eye of the Cat 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Power Through 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Red Hornet 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Admiral Returns 15.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Ol Grey Ghost 3.50 3 6-1
6 6 Soul Coaxing 3.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Duckdevil 5.00 5 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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