June 17, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Radiant Castle | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | W W Candy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jettin Out | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Hot Devil | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Putt Richie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Talis Park Grad | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Grey Mask | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Young Corbett | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bel Bimbo | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elusive Force | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tre Lee Divine | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dark Ninja | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Croce d’Oro | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Power Cry | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | J Z’s Last Try | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Dom the Bomb | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mongol Bull | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magi | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dangersmymiddlname | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Box | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Let’s Cruise | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Khozie’s Ghost | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Cloud | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lily’s Woofy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Threatlevelmidnite (GB) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | She’s Wandaful | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trumpet Lilly | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maystart | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Fun | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Varsity Flygirl | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stack Shack | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | April’s Gem | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Dawn | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Susan Ann | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ballybrack Lass | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Godsgift | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Antecedence | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Special Conquest | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fancy Empress | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Emily Bug | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lady Creed | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kuringai | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Seventeen | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Romantic Attack | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Apollo U Anywhere | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Risky Risky Risky | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catnip Kitten | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Her Gold Mine | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Lily | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Clemson Tiger | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eye of the Cat | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Power Through | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Hornet | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Admiral Returns | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ol Grey Ghost | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soul Coaxing | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duckdevil | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.