Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 13, 2021

June 13, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vegas Palm 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Pushing Sixty 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Freedom Lass 6.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Kleen Karma 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Keep Dancing 3.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Ellie Arroway 2.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sherilinda 12.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Bella Renella 1.80 1.9 3-1
1 1 Chollima 2.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 You Wanna Ear Rip 4.50 2.9 6-1
4 3 Luck Be Mine 1.20 3.1 6-1
2 2 Madame Barbarian 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rager 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 First Prez 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Exultation 1.20 1.9 4-1
3 3 Best Chance 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Question Authority 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Beyond Brilliant 0.20 1.5 3-1
5 5 Whistleblower 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Winzer 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Magnificent 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mongolian Wolf 20.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Railsplitter 2.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Unilateral 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Racetrackers 1.80 2.7 5-1
2 2 Hapi Hapi 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Brazilian Summer 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Mount Pelliar 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Achilleus 15.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Meadway 50.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Finneus 1.80 1.1 2-1
5 5 Fowler Blue 4.00 1.4 3-1
6 6 Sauls Call 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Empire’s Fire 20.00 3.3 6-1
9 8 Mr. T’s Thirsty 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Gemini Bay 15.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Im Still Thirsty 20.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Richards the Dream 50.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Aspen Shade 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Goldini 2.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Vantastic 1.80 1.9 4-1
7 7 Ox Bridge 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Bud Knight 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Good Bye Putin 5.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Cibertruck 12.00 5 9-1
8 8 Reckoning Day 30.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Starship Chewbacca 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Thrive 1.20 1.8 3-1
4 3 Atomic Drop 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Minister Shane 3.00 2.2 4-1
3 2 Misawa 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Intense 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Vaporized 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Possibly Perfect S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Go Big Blue Nation 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Neige Blanche (FR) 3.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Kuora (PER) 10.00 2 4-1
3 3 Dogtag 1.80 2.4 5-1
7 7 Rideforthecause 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Catch the Eye 15.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Lady Noguez 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dynapower 50.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Affirmed S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Classier 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Mr. Impossible 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 The Chosen Vron 1.60 1.7 3-1
4 4 Defunded 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Jimmy Irish 20.00 3.2 6-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Basilia 4.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Sweet and Cheeky 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Fabiolla (GB) 10.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Miracle of Hope 12.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 New Drama 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Brio Is Awesome 20.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Mongolian Panther 5.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Shout It Out 6.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Portugueseprincess 15.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Ragged Rose 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 River Girl 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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