June 13, 2021 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vegas Palm | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pushing Sixty | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freedom Lass | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kleen Karma | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep Dancing | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ellie Arroway | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sherilinda | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Bella Renella | 1.80 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chollima | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | You Wanna Ear Rip | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Luck Be Mine | 1.20 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rager | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Prez | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Exultation | 1.20 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Best Chance | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Question Authority | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beyond Brilliant | 0.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whistleblower | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winzer | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnificent | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mongolian Wolf | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Railsplitter | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unilateral | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racetrackers | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hapi Hapi | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brazilian Summer | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mount Pelliar | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Achilleus | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Meadway | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Finneus | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fowler Blue | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sauls Call | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Empire’s Fire | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr. T’s Thirsty | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gemini Bay | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Im Still Thirsty | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richards the Dream | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aspen Shade | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Goldini | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vantastic | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ox Bridge | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bud Knight | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Bye Putin | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cibertruck | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reckoning Day | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Starship Chewbacca | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Thrive | 1.20 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Atomic Drop | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Minister Shane | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Misawa | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Intense | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vaporized | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Possibly Perfect S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Go Big Blue Nation | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neige Blanche (FR) | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kuora (PER) | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dogtag | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rideforthecause | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catch the Eye | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Noguez | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dynapower | 50.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Affirmed S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Classier | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Impossible | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Chosen Vron | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Defunded | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy Irish | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Basilia | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet and Cheeky | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fabiolla (GB) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miracle of Hope | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | New Drama | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brio Is Awesome | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mongolian Panther | 5.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shout It Out | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Portugueseprincess | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragged Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | River Girl | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.