Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 13, 2021

June 13, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lemon Taffy 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Gallina 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Calidad 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Scott Alaia 6.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Stormi Cat Lady 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Spun for Lu Lu 15.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tia Vicky 20.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Mia Calia 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Sweet Mission 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Gabby Squared 2.50 4.5 8-1
3 2 Hit the Nail 15.00 5 9-1
10 9 Artyistheparty 12.00 5 10-1
11 10 Alpha Babe 6.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Happylife 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Alpine Queen 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Capstone Girl 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 1 Wicked Happy 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 5 Exotic Cat 30.00 7.7 15-1
12 11 Tiz Her Way 20.00 7.9 15-1
1 1 Matoula 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Strong Point 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Mo Faith 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) 2.50 4.9 9-1
10 7 Yes and Yes 5.00 6.1 12-1
8 6 Worth a Shot 1.80 6.4 12-1
2 2 Holy Emperor 10.00 6.6 12-1
5 4 Alley Oop Johnny 10.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Quid 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Arham 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Civil War 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Royal Realm 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Sono Grato 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Yankee Division 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Frosted Indian 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Scotty 1.60 3.4 6-1
8 8 Whichwaytomalibu 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Have a Heart 6.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Mr. Fidget 12.00 5 10-1
5 5 Doublepour 15.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Our American Star 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Apex Predator 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Yankee Empire 15.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 10 Stanhope 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 6 Hard Count 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Knockout Punch 4.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Victory Built 8.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Half Right 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Silver Token 3.50 5 10-1
10 8 Clamor 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 5 Feast 10.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Disciplanarian 12.00 7.4 14-1
11 9 Litterbox 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Irish Giant 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Full Court Press 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 1 Discretionary Marq 3.50 3.1 6-1
11 11 Honor Up 6.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Swashbuckle 4.50 3.7 7-1
12 12 Shiraz 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Noble Emotion 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Call Me Harry 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Three Outlaws 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Valmont 10.00 6 11-1
8 8 First Deputy 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Quiet Out East 20.00 7.7 15-1
2 2 On the Couch 15.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Thin White Duke 20.00 9.8 19-1
13A 13 Bronx Bomber 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Calibogue Sound 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Hollywood Gina 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Honey Money 3.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Barista Vixen 3.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Cadeau de Paix 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Caramocha 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Master of Hope 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Pendolino 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kalifornia Queen (GER) 2.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 La Dragontea (GB) 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Jezebel’s Kitten 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Platinum Paynter 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 In a Hurry 5.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Kissing Frogs 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Bramble Bay 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Dublinornothin 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Elston 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Caribbean Gold 2.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Welshman 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Centurion 5.00 5 9-1
5 5 Thruster 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Empire Attraction 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Bourbon Rising 12.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Islandman 12.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Kentucky Knight 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Not Stormy 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Ocean Deep 30.00 8.2 15-1
4 4 Beckenbauer 20.00 8.6 16-1
13 13 Sea City 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Jedrek 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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