June 12, 2021 Prairie Meadows Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | First Contact | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Knight Disruptor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fly First Class | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blank It | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monday Confession | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dun Sober | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thatsafactjack | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heritage Park | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Tiger | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Loading | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shanghai Mike | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | True Saint | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mahomes | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Rules | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Allen’s Rocket | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toska’s Ruler | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Wednesday | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Years Fly By | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flaming Indy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skykat | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love to Learn | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atoka Girl | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Roxy | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tapigal | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Aggie Bling | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Say It Nicely | 1.20 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | New Gospel | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mafia Don | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Applicant | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jaysker | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stage Door | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cantwaittograduate | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chinlee | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Loch Garman | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quality Run | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Term Thinking | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silk Trade | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon in the Sky | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drewhustle | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Roller | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Hearted Factor | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back the Blue | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nastida Mast | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Always a Catch | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yeowzer | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Way Out West | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kit Check | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Plumbago | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.