Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, June 12, 2021

June 12, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Beyond Brown 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Tenderness 3.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Iova 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 6 Cause to Dream 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Hey It’s Tati 8.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Magicallydelicious 15.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Take It Off 15.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Predetermined 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Southern Flag 1.60 1.9 3-1
2 2 Miles D 2.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Vindictive 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Beatbox 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Absolute Courage 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Ghostconqueror 20.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dunph 3.00 1.6 3-1
6A 6 Daddy Knows 3.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Pubilius Syrus 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Hammerin Aamer 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Grit and Glory 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Roaming Union 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 American Lincoln 30.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 King of American 50.00 5.1 10-1
9A 9 Legit 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Deferred Taxes 3.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Realm of Law 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Mubtadaa 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Big Everest (GB) 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Treason 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Minuteman (GER) 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Newsworthy 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Bunker Hill 20.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Durkin’s Call 8.00 3.6 7-1
9 9 Six Percent 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Just Right 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Control Group 1.60 4.2 8-1
3 3 Too Early 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Bourbon Bay 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Danebury 12.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Kazmania 20.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Microscope 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 American Parade 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Infinite Potential (IRE) 2.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Now Yus Cant Leave 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Overlook Road 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Angelou 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Bella Jenshea 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Miss Delicious 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Synonymous 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Superbloodwolfmoon 30.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Entreat 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 5 Subsidiary 4.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Whispering Pines 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Love and Love 3.50 4.5 8-1
8 6 Midtown Rose 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Iaintfraidanoghost 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Stunning Munnings 20.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Courageous Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Halo City 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Dancin Renee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Espresso Shot 3.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Ruvies in Time 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Sadie Lady 2.00 3 6-1
1 1 Fierce Lady 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Eloquent Speaker 10.00 4 7-1
3 3 Good Credence 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 3 Battle Station 3.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Guildsman (FR) 4.50 4.4 8-1
12 8 Duress 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 2 Ghoul (BRZ) 6.00 4.9 9-1
10 6 Quarky 4.00 5.1 10-1
11 7 Holiday Stone 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 4 Second of July 6.00 6.8 13-1
9 5 Ragtime Blues 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Morning Breez 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Montauk Traffic 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 Yodel E. A. Who 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Secret Rules 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Barre 3.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Lady Manhattan 4.50 2.7 5-1
8 6 Fattoria 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 Blind Sight 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 1 Sweet Franny Lu 6.00 5.7 11-1
12 10 Reeley Psyched 10.00 5.8 11-1
13 11 Freedom Machine 2.50 6 11-1
4 3 Mondeuse 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 5 Ethel’s Doctorate 30.00 6.5 12-1
11 9 Memories Eternal 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 8 Saigon 20.00 7 13-1
1 1 Marilyn Merlot 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Little Ms Scarlet 12.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hit the Nail 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Stormi Cat Lady 3.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Elegant Laoban 50.00 11.7 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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