June 12, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ordained Kiss | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Juju’s Specialgirl | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiana’s Love | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field Letters | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Hey | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Isabellacannetella | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wanna Have Fun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Dare to Hope | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Girls Count | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Sully | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supreme Irene | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Table One | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luscious | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rio Seco | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | P H Factor | 0.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Can’t Say No | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lemon Blitz | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baroque | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Hide From Me | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Eskendereyas Dream | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Two Cookie Rule | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fixico | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clear to Close | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moon Flash | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Irish Halo | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Christmas Present | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Will Ya Win Sum | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smokin Richie | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Merlin’s Song | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | D’fever | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Wile E Peyote | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Change Direction | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Belfast Boy | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trappe Valley | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aggressivity | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lost in Manhattan | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Timingiseverything | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Andreas | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Lead Star | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Call the Colonel | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christian C | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hinton | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Saturdays Hangover | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ogee’s Ekati | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Angelino | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dramatic Kitten | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tornado Boy | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Driver Dan | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Charming | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cloud to Ground | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tres Generaciones | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bora Bora | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cowboys Dream | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Symbolist | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Easton Rocks | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dick the Bruiser | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Look Away | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reveille | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | White Mist | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King’s Story | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Irish Tuff | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hatchet Creek | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.