Sports from the Basement

Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 11, 2021

June 11, 2021 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Family Fortune 3.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Parched Ghost 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Blue Sky Venezuela 1.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 R True Sensation 20.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Ciao Luna 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Petes Pride 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 8 Crystalology 5.00 2.1 4-1
8A 5 Behind the Couch 2.00 2.9 6-1
10 7 Guns Blazing 3.00 3 6-1
9A 6 Bless and Honor 2.00 3 6-1
5 3 Golden Can 2.50 3.1 6-1
6 4 Hufflepuff 2.50 5.2 10-1
4 2 Brewster Flats 20.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Melisande 30.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Castilleja 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Verbien O. P. 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Awesome Jazz 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Souper Catch 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 King Mauro 4.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Unequivocal 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Iywaan 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Charging Lion 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Campari 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Glengar 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forced 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Nothing Better 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Battlebus 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Little Bold Bandit 20.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 It’s Sizzling Time 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Backwoods Boogie 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Godlovesasinner 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Super E 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Fair Catch 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Confusion Baby Boy 3.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Justice of War 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Gator Fifty Two 12.00 5 9-1
2 2 Sing a Verse 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Tale of Dixie 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Outside the Box 8.00 6.1 12-1
5A 5 Fernwood Drive 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Distant Thunder 3.00 SCRATCH
8A 8 Cooke Brothers 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Full Dinner Jacket 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 9 Shackled Love 2.50 5.1 10-1
11 11 Market Mover 10.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Beltway Bob 12.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Mint Game 30.00 9.5 18-1
1 1 Broker’s Reward 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Audacious Quality 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Benny Havens 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Reassured 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Somekindofmagician 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stringfella 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Make a Stand 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Boy Paddy 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Dundalk 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Decoupage 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Hydra 1.80 2.9 6-1
3 3 Larimar 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Dance and Dance 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Boogie With Me 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Carolina Ice 20.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kickstarter 4.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Stretch the Truth 3.50 4.5 8-1
12 12 Officer Country 5.00 5 9-1
8 8 Street Prayer 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Tyreek 10.00 5.4 10-1
15 15 Mosby’s Ranger 4.00 5.4 10-1
14 14 I’ve Gotta Plan 12.00 7 13-1
5 5 Championship Alley 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Crying for More 20.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 True Shipman 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Bold Trek 5.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Pay the Kid 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Just Go With It 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lucian 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Hard to Be Humble 1.40 SCRATCH
2 2 Bear Treasure 30.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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