Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 11, 2021

June 11, 2021 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Nationalist 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 5 Chez Paree 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 4 Bahamian Girl 5.00 2.9 6-1
4 3 She Takes Heart 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rain 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Grace’s Drama 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Lady Fiorella 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Whiskeyonhislips 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Merlin 2.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Kitodan 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Deal Go Down 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Backatya 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Chancellor Bay 20.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Unique Time 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Frosty Warrior 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zero Gravity 3.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Lahinch 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Kroy 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Til the End 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Zap Daddy 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Ingreido 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Resident 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Winter’s Wonder 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One Turn Johnny 3.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Tons of Gold 4.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 The Reign Man 3.50 3 6-1
1 1 Union Gap 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Timewon’tletmego 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Wicked Temptations 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Uncle Kevin 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Keitany 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Courted 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Starry Hope 5.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Eighty Seven North 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 First Gold 6.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Blues Songs 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Perfect Kimberly S 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Pandorica 30.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brett’s World 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Tonalism 2.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Braccio Di Ferro 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Gege Conquest 5.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Tone Feelin 10.00 4 8-1
8 7 Samaronti 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 El Solitario 30.00 7 13-1
7 7 Greyzer 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Pugin 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Lea Ro 4.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Setting the Mood 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 5 Lookinlikeaqueen 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Kitten’s Romance 3.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Kahiko 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Centsless Drama 5.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Independence Law 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Addilyn 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 Karen’s Cove 4.50 2.4 4-1
6 3 Diamonds Enjoy 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 5 Old Time Revival 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 4 Gemo 12.00 5.2 10-1
5 2 Gran Casique 15.00 6.3 12-1
1 1 Honolulu Express 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 High Heater 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Causalistic 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Kick Out the Jams 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Touring Egypt 3.00 2.7 5-1
4 3 Awesome Ella 2.00 3 6-1
10 9 Our Ten Angels 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Ma Coco 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Mamma J 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 4 Backstretchbeauty 20.00 7.1 13-1
6 5 Flat Out Cool 30.00 8 15-1
8 7 Jaent 30.00 8.8 17-1
3 3 For Ever Ours 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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