Sports from the Basement

Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 11, 2021

June 11, 2021 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mystery Messenger 1.40 3.3 6-1
1 1 Duncastle 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Artemus Citylimits 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 War Stroll 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Castagno 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Encrypted (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fox Red 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Viradia 2.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Lune Lake 2.50 2.9 6-1
7 6 Movie Score 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Frills 3.50 3.5 7-1
4 3 Awesome Alana 12.00 5 9-1
1 1 Lovely Lady Lexi 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Take Charge Tina 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Family Biz 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Chris and Dave 3.00 2.5 5-1
1A 1 Grumps Little Tots 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Villainous 4.00 2.8 5-1
6A 6 Heirloom Kitten 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Identifier 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Musical America 6.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Daggerboard 5.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Papa Smooth 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 8 Flipping Fun 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 5 Forest Spirit 4.50 3.7 7-1
9 7 Dutchmen Forever 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Gongheifatchoy 12.00 5 9-1
5 4 Chasing a Legacy 50.00 6.5 12-1
8 6 Crock of Gold 30.00 6.6 13-1
11 9 Being Me 50.00 8.9 17-1
1 1 Multiple Expansion 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Triple Americano 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Corey Scores 4.00 2.9 5-1
8 7 Canarsie Angel 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Jen’s Battle 3.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Doll 2.50 4.2 8-1
6 5 Stefanie On Fleek 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Itsakeyper 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Goldmakesmesmile 15.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Sky Kitten 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Honey Money 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Marvelous Maude 5.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Dixie Kitten 8.00 2.9 5-1
5 4 Holy Breeze 10.00 3.7 7-1
10 8 Kreesa La Wrote 3.00 3.8 7-1
9 7 Epona’s Dream 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Caumsett 4.50 4.1 8-1
8 6 Just Ok Is Not Ok 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 5 Ruthless Gal 20.00 6 11-1
4 4 A Bit o’Irish Sass 2.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Acushla 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Slam Dunk 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 5 Don’t Call Me Mary 2.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Timely Tradition 3.50 3 6-1
7 6 Finding Fame 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Truth Hurts 15.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Tara’s Talent 20.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dealing Justice 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Shamrocket 1.60 2.5 5-1
6 4 Compliant 3.00 3.4 6-1
11 8 Good Old Boy 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 6 First Line 8.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Box N Score 6.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Somethingtotellyou 12.00 7.1 14-1
3 3 Montauk Summer 15.00 7.7 15-1
10 7 Dance Some Mo 15.00 8.1 15-1
4 4 Yankee Division 1.20 SCRATCH
5A 5 Indian Counselor 2.00 SCRATCH
7A 7 Dust Devil 2.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Point Him Out 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 10 Artie’s Lit 12.00 3.1 6-1
13 12 Portfolio Hedge 1.60 3.9 7-1
7 6 Majestic Sky 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Noble Conquest 5.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Boom Boom Kaboom 5.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Tanners Neck Lane 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Hoping and Praying 20.00 4.9 9-1
12 11 Damilano 12.00 5.6 11-1
10 9 Ratchet 15.00 6 11-1
1 1 Hurricane Andrew 15.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Webb 30.00 8.6 16-1
4 4 Masked Marauder 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Reunion Tour 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Cox’s Ledge 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Enroule 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Freudian Analyst 50.00 11.5 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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