Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Friday, June 11, 2021

June 11, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Dark Wood (IRE) 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 3 Majestic Day 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 5 Packed House 2.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Giant’s Forrest 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 River Finn 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Roar of the Lion 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zidikai 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hoodwink 3.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Valerie Valeski 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Cookin Roses 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Tiz a Queen 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Pregolya River 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Global Monopoly 30.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tornado Boy 8.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Pistol Box 4.00 3 6-1
4 3 Its My Bag Baby 15.00 4 8-1
3 2 Upham 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Gemo Rain 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Z U Soon 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Diamond Dave 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Inclusive 1.60 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ringintheyear 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Upbeat Melody 2.50 1.3 3-1
2 2 Rave On 12.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Nobel 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 5 Old Arbat 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 4 Behavin Myself 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Russian Alphabet 20.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Rag Tag 4.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dawn’s Dancer 4.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Sister Ruler 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Caroline’s Story 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Chrome Attack 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Savvy Ally 3.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Stopshoppingamy 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Belle Brezing 4.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Willow Moon 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Dance Or Stroll 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Temper Tantrum 2.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Bee Happy Attack 20.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Canyons Boy 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Flashy Richie 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Indian Sign 10.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 Land Mark Deal 3.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Demand Ransom 15.00 5 10-1
4 4 Ride Richie Ride 10.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Rip It Ryan 12.00 6 11-1
8 7 Insane Lifestyle 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 War Chest 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Barleewon 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 My Bariley 8.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Sniper Kitten 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 The Green Mo’ster 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Stanford (IRE) 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Cammack 3.50 6 11-1
5 5 Rudiger 8.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fleetway 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 7 Fade Away 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Clear N Convincing 2.00 SCRATCH
10 9 River Evangelist 8.00 5.4 10-1
11 10 Tale of the Nile 4.50 5.8 11-1
7 6 Antrim’s Giant 15.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Stock Trade 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Half of Manhattan 6.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Hannity 30.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Landofthepharaohs 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 8 Dollar Blue 12.00 7.7 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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