June 11, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Dark Wood (IRE) | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Majestic Day | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Packed House | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant’s Forrest | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Finn | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Roar of the Lion | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zidikai | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoodwink | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Valerie Valeski | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cookin Roses | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Queen | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pregolya River | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Monopoly | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tornado Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Pistol Box | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Its My Bag Baby | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Upham | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Gemo Rain | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Z U Soon | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Dave | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Inclusive | 1.60 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ringintheyear | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Upbeat Melody | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rave On | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Nobel | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Old Arbat | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Behavin Myself | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Russian Alphabet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Rag Tag | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dawn’s Dancer | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sister Ruler | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caroline’s Story | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chrome Attack | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Savvy Ally | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stopshoppingamy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Belle Brezing | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willow Moon | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dance Or Stroll | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Temper Tantrum | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bee Happy Attack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Canyons Boy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Richie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indian Sign | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Land Mark Deal | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Demand Ransom | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ride Richie Ride | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rip It Ryan | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Insane Lifestyle | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | War Chest | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Barleewon | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Bariley | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sniper Kitten | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Green Mo’ster | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stanford (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cammack | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rudiger | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fleetway | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fade Away | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear N Convincing | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | River Evangelist | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Tale of the Nile | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Antrim’s Giant | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stock Trade | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half of Manhattan | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hannity | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Landofthepharaohs | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dollar Blue | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.