Sports from the Basement

Arlington Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, June 10, 2021

June 10, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Irish Lighted Road 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Lastfortinofamily 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 One Putt Richie 1.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Distinct Thunder 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Last Spring 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Nip N Tuck 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Renegade Bob 5.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roger McQueen 1.20 SCRATCH
7 6 Land Remembered 3.50 1.3 2-1
1 1 Meataball 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Iggy Bigs 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Hold Me Closer 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Concrete Glory 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Justicehasbeendone 10.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Macho Classic 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Savage 4.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Medal of Fact 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Comiskey Park 5.00 2.9 5-1
6 5 Master Guns 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Coco Bravado 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Dive Deep 2.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Morriston 3.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Stomping Hotrod 4.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Fifty One Ninety 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Chocolate Bunny 12.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Powerful Man 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Pitaman 2.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rocket Ride 5.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Lasten Impression 6.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Away to Return 3.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Sway to Go 4.50 1.3 2-1
6 6 Ollie’s Gold 4.50 2.2 4-1
4 4 Beyond Proper 5.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Trouble Making 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Bruce’s Girl 4.00 2.8 5-1
8 8 Summer Home 12.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Heavenly Scent 15.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Futile 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 First Masamune 6.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 President Elect 20.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Big Sport 1.40 5.2 10-1
2 2 Souper Highvoltage 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Can’t Say No 5.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Diddley 10.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Captain Mad Jack 12.00 7.5 14-1
7 6 Follow the Signs 6.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Straight Up Smarty 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Go Yeowomen 4.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Antalya 3.50 2.7 5-1
8 8 Rachelgotstephen 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Our Closure 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Vegan Goes Best 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Eye On the Finish 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 8 Northern Alliance 2.50 5.4 10-1
5 5 Satiate 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Bettyb 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Fort Moultrie 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Richiesgotgame 2.50 SCRATCH
5 4 Clarestown 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Regular Guy 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Maresonofagun 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 7 Dewy’s Hit 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 King of Miami 3.50 5.5 10-1
12 9 Chatter Box 30.00 5.7 11-1
11 8 Palio 10.00 6.4 12-1
6 5 Mr. Universe 30.00 7.1 13-1
4 3 Navy Seal 20.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Shadizaar 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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