June 10, 2021 Arlington Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Irish Lighted Road | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lastfortinofamily | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One Putt Richie | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Distinct Thunder | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Spring | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nip N Tuck | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Renegade Bob | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roger McQueen | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Land Remembered | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Meataball | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Iggy Bigs | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hold Me Closer | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Concrete Glory | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Justicehasbeendone | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Macho Classic | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savage | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Medal of Fact | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Comiskey Park | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Master Guns | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coco Bravado | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dive Deep | 2.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Morriston | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stomping Hotrod | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fifty One Ninety | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chocolate Bunny | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Powerful Man | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pitaman | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocket Ride | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lasten Impression | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Away to Return | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sway to Go | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ollie’s Gold | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beyond Proper | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trouble Making | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bruce’s Girl | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Summer Home | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heavenly Scent | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Futile | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Masamune | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | President Elect | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Sport | 1.40 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Highvoltage | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Say No | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Diddley | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Captain Mad Jack | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Follow the Signs | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Straight Up Smarty | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Go Yeowomen | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Antalya | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rachelgotstephen | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Our Closure | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vegan Goes Best | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eye On the Finish | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Northern Alliance | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Satiate | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bettyb | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 6 | Fort Moultrie | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Richiesgotgame | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Clarestown | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regular Guy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Maresonofagun | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Dewy’s Hit | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | King of Miami | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Chatter Box | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Palio | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Universe | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Navy Seal | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shadizaar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.