Sports from the Basement

Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, June 6, 2021

June 6, 2021 Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Cecile’s Chapter 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Dramatizer 3.50 3 6-1
9 8 Sweet Queen Bee 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Rose’s Cause 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Sunny Isle Beach 8.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Fortuna Adiuvat 15.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Princess d’Oro 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Seaward 20.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Golden Voice 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Skyvalue 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 2 Singsong Bird 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 She Wants More 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Bow Maker 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Bonnet 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gem Key 2.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 My My Munny 3.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 La Tourista 4.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Gran Chemin 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Benedictinesisters 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Peyton’s College 12.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rosenquist 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Island Boy 4.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Awesummer 5.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Congratzi 8.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 He’s Pretty Lucky 10.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Buckets of Rain 12.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Marvelousmoondance 12.00 9.8 19-1
16 16 National Road 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Command Central 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Alpha Predator 3.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Complicate 10.00 SCRATCH
17 17 Spheroid 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Niangua 15.00 10.1 19-1
6 6 Beocca 12.00 10.1 19-1
3 3 Gold Money 20.00 12.5 24-1
1 1 Dogwoods Cosby 20.00 13.2 25-1
7 7 Rupp N Ready 20.00 13.2 25-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Big Beautiful Wall 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Ruler of the Nile 3.50 1.6 3-1
7 6 Luck of the Draw 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 5 Frolic More 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Lamartine (BRZ) 4.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Yankee Seven 8.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Pepper Pike 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Thunder Buggy 3.50 1.5 3-1
7 7 Big On Broadway 4.50 2 4-1
6 6 Sense You Left 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Escape Fund 4.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Ready N Waiting 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lady Protonico 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Flyta 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Bourbina 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Scarlet Fusion 3.50 1.5 3-1
11 11 Who Took the Money 5.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Last Samurai 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Nathan Detroit 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Bryce Canyon 8.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Democracy 8.00 2.9 6-1
10 10 Hard Rye Guy 8.00 3.6 7-1
12 12 Wentru 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Accredit 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Notary 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Belafonte 30.00 9.3 18-1
2 2 Swingin Friar 30.00 9.6 18-1
13 13 Grey Streak 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13A 11 Glory Road 4.00 2.1 4-1
7 6 Gun It 2.50 2.4 4-1
10A 9 Necker Island 4.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Taishan 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Relentless Dancer 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 7 Savvy 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bear Alley 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 Pit Boss 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 American Butterfly 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Oak Hill 15.00 7.8 15-1
3 3 Prodigious Bay 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Restoring Hope 15.00 SCRATCH
12 10 Beaver Hat 20.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Mademoiselle Nova 4.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Cerulean 4.50 2 4-1
11 11 High Fair 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Look Me Over 5.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Lisboa 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Pure Silk 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Maybe Later 4.50 4.2 8-1
8 8 Stormin Hot 15.00 5 10-1
12 12 Salino 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Summer Store 15.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Force of Nature 20.00 6 11-1
13 13 Fayette Blue 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ms Temptation 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Su Say Sashie 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Love in the Air 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Blue Oyster 50.00 12.9 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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